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If enough of them switched in red states in a close race, it might deny Mr Trump victory in the electoral college. Much better would be to depend on the common sense of the American people. It is simple to forget that Mr Trump loses elections. In the four years of his presidency he lost his celebration both houses of Congress in addition to the White House.

The factor Mr Trump campaigns so hard versus the trustworthiness of the tally box is that he understands the ballot box can beat him.

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We will make America safe once again. And we will make America fantastic again,” he told the CPAC audience.

Don’t question that he will. If anything, remarkable actions against him by the Justice Department, in this case connected to categorized information Trump presumably took with him from the White Home, according to an NBC source familiar with what occurred, is just most likely to grease those aspirations further.

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Any worry he has of losing has actually surely been displaced by a more severe one: doing time. Trump should pine for the Justice Department’s shield from prosecution that the presidential seal affords.

Even if Trump were convicted before the 2024 election, it would not likely be much before. He would almost surely be out on bail, still running for the presidency and claiming that the verdict would be reversed on appeal. As of late July, Trump remained the leading option for the Republican presidential nomination, with about 50% assistance, according to the Real, Clear, Politics survey average and nearly every individual survey that shows him with huge double-digit leads over his closest competitor.

Among those arguing Trump won’t run again was Michael Cohen. Cohen’s observation seemed practical then.

In recent weeks, we have actually seen an avalanche of evidence from your home committee investigating the events of Jan. 6 about Trump’s prospective criminality leading up to and on that eventful day. Even before Monday’s search, we saw news of a speeding up Justice Department investigation thinking about whether Trump attempted to reverse the 2020 election.

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And in February, the National Archives requested that the Justice Department take a look at whether Trump’s handling of White Home records broke federal law. Any worry he has of losing has undoubtedly been displaced by a more serious one: doing time. Trump needs to pine for the Justice Department’s shield from prosecution that the presidential seal pays for.

And as soon as the presidency is won, are your people going to implement the rules versus you? As for Cohen’s assertion that Trump would surrender his trustworthiness if he lost a second time, where’s the proof that his fans would disbelieve his unavoidable claim that he in fact won? Isn’t the threat to his moneymaking apparatus greater if he drops the prospect of returning to the White House? His political significance would be outperformed by that of those who get the torch, while his name could be in the headlines primarily for his entanglement with the law.

Provided all these factors, whatever legal jeopardy he might be in, expect a Trump statement not long after the midterms stating he means to be the very first president to have ever had an election taken and lived to win four years later.

, politics reporter): I do not believe so, Sarah, particularly if Trump is the nominee. If Trump announces that he’s running for a 2nd term, I think: 1) Biden will run again, and 2) there will not be a damaging primary to take him down.

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Bernie Sanders stepping up to the plate and bring in a decent share of the vote, however in 2024, I do not think he ‘d bother, or be effective. More like frenemies., senior elections expert): That’s a good point, Alex, about Democrats likely not wanting to participate in an untidy primary.

If Trump looms big, that may encourage higher Democratic unity. Regardless, however, it’s really difficult to take on an incumbent president in a main no incumbent has ever lost renomination in the modern presidential main period.

Yeah, and the incumbent presidents who have faced severe renomination fights (e. g., previous President Jimmy Carter) lost their subsequent basic election. No Democrat will want to be blamed for tanking Biden’s chances versus Trump. Another problem: I know surveys show that Democrats mostly don’t desire Biden to run once again, but celebration elites aren’t acting that way.

Carolyn Maloney said she didn’t believe Biden would run again in 2024.!! To me, that’s the sign of a celebration joined behind their leader.