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If sufficient of them switched in red states in a close race, it could deny Mr Trump victory in the electoral college. It is easy to forget that Mr Trump loses elections.
The reason Mr Trump projects so hard versus the credibility of the tally box is that he understands the ballot box can defeat him.

We will make America safe again. And we will make America great again,” he informed the CPAC audience.
and we may have to do it again.” Don’t doubt that he will. The FBI raid on Trump’s Mar-a-Lago home in Palm Beach, Florida, on Monday looks like it would put the brakes on the previous president’s political aspirations. If anything, remarkable actions against him by the Justice Department, in this case tied to categorized information Trump apparently took with him from the White House, according to an NBC source familiar with what happened, is only most likely to grease those ambitions even more.
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Any fear he has of losing has undoubtedly been displaced by a more severe one: doing time. Trump must crave the Justice Department’s guard from prosecution that the governmental seal pays for. Trump might believe that an indictment might help his political profile, promoting his longtime campaign style of being an aggrieved martyr.
He would nearly definitely be out on bail, still running for the presidency and declaring that the decision would be reversed on appeal.
We disregard them at our peril doing so indicates losing valuable time both advising Americans of the “clear and present threat” to our Constitution that he poses and getting ready for how finest to defeat him. Among those arguing Trump won’t run again was Michael Cohen. Trump’s previous attorney who knows the man along with anybody said in November: “His vulnerable ego can not stand to be considered a two-time loser.” Cohen’s observation appeared reasonable then.
In recent weeks, we’ve witnessed an avalanche of proof from your house committee examining the occasions of Jan. 6 about Trump’s prospective criminality leading up to and on that fateful day. Even before Monday’s search, we saw news of an accelerating Justice Department examination considering whether Trump attempted to overturn the 2020 election.
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And in February, the National Archives requested that the Justice Department take a look at whether Trump’s handling of White House records broke federal law. Any worry he has of losing has undoubtedly been displaced by a more major one: doing time. Trump must crave the Justice Department’s guard from prosecution that the governmental seal manages.
And as soon as the presidency is won, are your individuals going to impose the guidelines versus you? When it comes to Cohen’s assertion that Trump would surrender his credibility if he lost a 2nd time, where’s the evidence that his fans would disbelieve his inescapable claim that he really won? Undoubtedly, isn’t the threat to his moneymaking apparatus higher if he drops the prospect of returning to the White House? His political importance would be beat by that of those who get the torch, while his name might be in the headings predominantly for his entanglement with the law.
Given all these aspects, whatever legal jeopardy he may remain in, anticipate a Trump announcement quickly after the midterms saying he intends to be the very first president to have ever had an election stolen and lived to win 4 years later.
, politics reporter): I don’t think so, Sarah, particularly if Trump is the nominee. If Trump announces that he’s running for a second term, I think: 1) Biden will run once again, and 2) there won’t be a harmful primary to take him down.
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Bernie Sanders stepping up to the plate and attracting a decent share of the vote, but in 2024, I don’t believe he ‘d bother, or be successful. More like frenemies., senior elections expert): That’s a good point, Alex, about Democrats likely not desiring to participate in a messy primary.
If Trump looms large, that may motivate higher Democratic unity. Regardless, though, it’s extremely tough to take on an incumbent president in a main no incumbent has ever lost renomination in the contemporary governmental primary age.
Yeah, and the incumbent presidents who have actually faced severe renomination fights (e. g., former President Jimmy Carter) lost their subsequent general election. No Democrat will desire to be blamed for tanking Biden’s chances against Trump. Another complication: I understand polls show that Democrats largely do not desire Biden to run once again, but party elites aren’t acting that method.
Carolyn Maloney said she didn’t think Biden would run again in 2024.!! To me, that’s the sign of a party united behind their leader.