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If adequate of them changed in red states in a close race, it could deny Mr Trump success in the electoral college. It is easy to forget that Mr Trump loses elections.

The reason Mr Trump projects so hard against the credibility of the tally box is that he knows the tally box can defeat him.

At the Conservative Political Action Conference in Texas on Saturday, previous President Donald Trump dropped another tease that he will quickly announce he is running for president in 2024. “We will make America proud again. We will make America safe again. And we will make America terrific again,” he told the CPAC audience.

and we may have to do it once again.” Don’t question that he will. The FBI raid on Trump’s Mar-a-Lago home in Palm Beach, Florida, on Monday seems like it would put the brakes on the former president’s political aspirations. However if anything, remarkable actions against him by the Justice Department, in this case connected to categorized details Trump apparently took with him from the White Home, according to an NBC source acquainted with what took place, is only most likely to grease those aspirations further.

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Any worry he has of losing has surely been displaced by a more severe one: doing time. Trump needs to pine for the Justice Department’s shield from prosecution that the presidential seal manages.

He would nearly definitely be out on bail, still running for the presidency and declaring that the decision would be reversed on appeal.

Amongst those arguing Trump won’t run once again was Michael Cohen. Cohen’s observation appeared sensible then.

In recent weeks, we’ve experienced an avalanche of evidence from the House committee examining the occasions of Jan. 6 about Trump’s potential criminality leading up to and on that fateful day.

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Any fear he has of losing has surely been displaced by a more severe one: doing time.

And when the presidency is won, are your individuals going to implement the rules against you? As for Cohen’s assertion that Trump would surrender his trustworthiness if he lost a 2nd time, where’s the proof that his fans would disbelieve his unavoidable claim that he really won?

Provided all these factors, whatever legal jeopardy he might remain in, anticipate a Trump statement quickly after the midterms stating he intends to be the first president to have ever had actually an election taken and lived to win four years later.

Exists a Democrat who can take on Biden? (Alex Samuels, politics press reporter): I do not think so, Sarah, especially if Trump is the candidate. If Trump reveals that he’s running for a second term, I believe: 1) Biden will run once again, and 2) there will not be a damaging primary to take him down.

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Bernie Sanders stepping up to the plate and attracting a good share of the vote, but in 2024, I don’t believe he ‘d bother, or be successful. More like frenemies., senior elections analyst): That’s a good point, Alex, about Democrats likely not desiring to take part in an untidy main.

If Trump looms large, that might encourage greater Democratic unity. Regardless, however, it’s extremely hard to take on an incumbent president in a main no incumbent has ever lost renomination in the modern presidential primary era.

Yeah, and the incumbent presidents who have faced serious renomination battles (e. g., previous President Jimmy Carter) lost their subsequent general election. No Democrat will desire to be blamed for tanking Biden’s chances against Trump. Another problem: I know surveys show that Democrats mainly don’t want Biden to run again, but party elites aren’t acting that way.

Carolyn Maloney said she didn’t think Biden would run again in 2024. Her main challengers jumped all over her, and she had to say sorry!.?.!! To me, that’s the indication of a celebration unified behind their leader. (It’s practically Trump-like!) Yeah, I don’t see anyone running if Biden makes great on his stated objective to run once again.