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If sufficient of them switched in red states in a close race, it could reject Mr Trump success in the electoral college. It is easy to forget that Mr Trump loses elections.

The reason Mr Trump projects so hard against the reliability of the ballot box is that he knows the tally box can defeat him.

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We will make America safe again. And we will make America fantastic once again,” he told the CPAC audience.

Do not doubt that he will. If anything, significant actions against him by the Justice Department, in this case tied to classified details Trump presumably took with him from the White Home, according to an NBC source familiar with what happened, is only most likely to grease those ambitions further.

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Any worry he has of losing has undoubtedly been displaced by a more serious one: doing time. Trump should pine for the Justice Department’s shield from prosecution that the presidential seal manages. Trump might believe that an indictment could help his political profile, promoting his longtime campaign theme of being an aggrieved martyr.

He would almost undoubtedly be out on bail, still running for the presidency and declaring that the decision would be reversed on appeal.

Among those arguing Trump will not run again was Michael Cohen. Cohen’s observation seemed sensible then.

In recent weeks, we have actually experienced an avalanche of evidence from your house committee examining the occasions of Jan. 6 about Trump’s prospective criminality leading up to and on that fateful day. Even prior to Monday’s search, we saw news of a speeding up Justice Department examination considering whether Trump tried to overturn the 2020 election.

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And in February, the National Archives requested that the Justice Department look at whether Trump’s handling of White Home records broke federal law. For this reason, any fear he has of losing has undoubtedly been displaced by a more severe one: doing time. Trump needs to crave the Justice Department’s shield from prosecution that the governmental seal pays for.

And once the presidency is won, are your individuals going to impose the rules versus you? As for Cohen’s assertion that Trump would surrender his reliability if he lost a second time, where’s the proof that his fans would disbelieve his unavoidable claim that he actually won?

Offered all these elements, whatever legal jeopardy he might be in, anticipate a Trump statement quickly after the midterms stating he intends to be the very first president to have ever had actually an election stolen and lived to win 4 years later on.

, politics press reporter): I do not believe so, Sarah, particularly if Trump is the nominee. If Trump announces that he’s running for a 2nd term, I believe: 1) Biden will run once again, and 2) there won’t be a damaging main to take him down.

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Bernie Sanders stepping up to the plate and drawing in a good share of the vote, however in 2024, I don’t think he ‘d bother, or achieve success. Sanders has actually already stated that he will not run versus Biden. (They’re friends!) More like frenemies. Ugh, we require more political friendship stories. (Geoffrey Skelley, senior elections expert): That’s an asset, Alex, about Democrats likely not wishing to take part in an unpleasant primary.

If Trump looms big, that may encourage higher Democratic unity. Regardless, though, it’s very hard to take on an incumbent president in a primary no incumbent has ever lost renomination in the modern governmental primary period.

Yeah, and the incumbent presidents who have actually dealt with severe renomination battles (e. g., former President Jimmy Carter) lost their subsequent general election. No Democrat will desire to be blamed for tanking Biden’s chances against Trump. Another issue: I know surveys reveal that Democrats largely do not desire Biden to run once again, however celebration elites aren’t acting that way.

Carolyn Maloney said she didn’t think Biden would run again in 2024. Her primary challengers leapt all over her, and she needed to apologize!.?.!! To me, that’s the indication of a party united behind their leader. (It’s practically Trump-like!) Yeah, I don’t see anyone running if Biden makes great on his stated intention to run once again.