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If sufficient of them switched in red states in a close race, it could deny Mr Trump success in the electoral college. Better would be to depend upon the great sense of the American people. It is simple to forget that Mr Trump loses elections. In the four years of his presidency he lost his party both houses of Congress in addition to the White House.

The reason Mr Trump projects so hard against the trustworthiness of the ballot box is that he knows the tally box can beat him.

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At the Conservative Political Action Conference in Texas on Saturday, previous President Donald Trump dropped another tease that he will soon reveal he is running for president in 2024. “We will make America happy once again. We will make America safe once again. And we will make America great once again,” he informed the CPAC audience.

and we may have to do it again.” Don’t question that he will. The FBI raid on Trump’s Mar-a-Lago house in Palm Beach, Florida, on Monday appears like it would put the brakes on the former president’s political aspirations. But if anything, dramatic actions against him by the Justice Department, in this case connected to classified information Trump allegedly took with him from the White House, according to an NBC source knowledgeable about what happened, is only likely to grease those aspirations even more.

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Any fear he has of losing has certainly been displaced by a more severe one: doing time. Trump must pine for the Justice Department’s shield from prosecution that the governmental seal manages.

Even if Trump were convicted before the 2024 election, it wouldn’t likely be much prior to. He would almost surely be out on bail, still running for the presidency and declaring that the verdict would be reversed on appeal. Since late July, Trump remained the leading choice for the Republican presidential nomination, with about 50% assistance, according to the Real, Clear, Politics survey average and almost every individual poll that shows him with massive double-digit leads over his closest competitor.

Amongst those arguing Trump will not run again was Michael Cohen. Cohen’s observation appeared reasonable then.

In recent weeks, we’ve experienced an avalanche of evidence from the House committee investigating the events of Jan. 6 about Trump’s potential criminality leading up to and on that eventful day. Even before Monday’s search, we saw news of a speeding up Justice Department examination considering whether Trump tried to reverse the 2020 election.

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Any fear he has of losing has certainly been displaced by a more severe one: doing time.

And once the presidency is won, are your people going to implement the rules against you? As for Cohen’s assertion that Trump would surrender his credibility if he lost a second time, where’s the evidence that his fans would disbelieve his inescapable claim that he really won?

Provided all these elements, whatever legal jeopardy he may remain in, expect a Trump statement soon after the midterms stating he plans to be the first president to have ever had actually an election stolen and lived to win 4 years later.

Is there a Democrat who can handle Biden? (Alex Samuels, politics press reporter): I do not believe so, Sarah, particularly if Trump is the nominee. If Trump reveals that he’s running for a 2nd term, I believe: 1) Biden will run once again, and 2) there won’t be a damaging main to take him down.

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Bernie Sanders stepping up to the plate and attracting a good share of the vote, but in 2024, I do not think he ‘d bother, or be effective. More like frenemies., senior elections analyst): That’s an excellent point, Alex, about Democrats likely not desiring to take part in an untidy primary.

If Trump looms big, that might encourage higher Democratic unity. Regardless, though, it’s really tough to take on an incumbent president in a primary no incumbent has ever lost renomination in the modern-day presidential primary age.

Yeah, and the incumbent presidents who have actually faced major renomination fights (e. g., former President Jimmy Carter) lost their subsequent basic election. No Democrat will wish to be blamed for tanking Biden’s possibilities versus Trump. Another complication: I understand surveys reveal that Democrats mainly do not desire Biden to run once again, however party elites aren’t acting that method.

Carolyn Maloney said she didn’t think Biden would run again in 2024. Her main opponents jumped all over her, and she had to say sorry!.?.!! To me, that’s the indication of a celebration joined behind their leader. (It’s nearly Trump-like!) Yeah, I do not see anybody running if Biden makes excellent on his stated intent to run once again.