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If sufficient of them switched in red states in a close race, it could reject Mr Trump victory in the electoral college. It is easy to forget that Mr Trump loses elections.

The factor Mr Trump projects so hard against the dependability of the ballot box is that he knows the ballot box can beat him.

We will make America safe once again. And we will make America great again,” he informed the CPAC audience.

and we might need to do it again.” Do not question that he will. The FBI raid on Trump’s Mar-a-Lago house in Palm Beach, Florida, on Monday appears like it would put the brakes on the former president’s political ambitions. If anything, significant actions versus him by the Justice Department, in this case tied to categorized info Trump allegedly took with him from the White House, according to an NBC source familiar with what took place, is only most likely to grease those aspirations further.

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Any worry he has of losing has definitely been displaced by a more severe one: doing time. Trump should crave the Justice Department’s shield from prosecution that the presidential seal manages. Trump may think that an indictment could assist his political profile, promoting his longtime campaign theme of being an aggrieved martyr.

He would almost definitely be out on bail, still running for the presidency and declaring that the verdict would be reversed on appeal.

Amongst those arguing Trump won’t run again was Michael Cohen. Cohen’s observation appeared sensible then.

In current weeks, we’ve seen an avalanche of proof from your home committee examining the occasions of Jan. 6 about Trump’s possible criminality leading up to and on that fateful day. Even prior to Monday’s search, we saw news of an accelerating Justice Department investigation considering whether Trump attempted to reverse the 2020 election.

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Any worry he has of losing has definitely been displaced by a more severe one: doing time.

And once the presidency is won, are your individuals going to impose the rules versus you? As for Cohen’s assertion that Trump would surrender his trustworthiness if he lost a second time, where’s the evidence that his fans would disbelieve his unavoidable claim that he really won?

Offered all these factors, whatever legal jeopardy he may be in, anticipate a Trump announcement right after the midterms stating he plans to be the first president to have ever had an election stolen and lived to win 4 years later on.

Exists a Democrat who can handle Biden? (Alex Samuels, politics reporter): I don’t believe so, Sarah, specifically if Trump is the nominee. If Trump announces that he’s running for a second term, I believe: 1) Biden will run again, and 2) there won’t be a damaging main to take him down.

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Bernie Sanders stepping up to the plate and attracting a decent share of the vote, however in 2024, I don’t believe he ‘d trouble, or be successful. More like frenemies., senior elections analyst): That’s a great point, Alex, about Democrats likely not wanting to take part in a messy primary.

If Trump looms large, that may motivate greater Democratic unity. Regardless, though, it’s very hard to take on an incumbent president in a main no incumbent has actually ever lost renomination in the modern governmental main era. There have actually been some primary surveys evaluating Biden against a multicandidate field that have him leading but only in the 30s in regards to support.

Yeah, and the incumbent presidents who have actually faced severe renomination battles (e. g., previous President Jimmy Carter) lost their subsequent general election. No Democrat will wish to be blamed for tanking Biden’s opportunities versus Trump. Another issue: I know surveys reveal that Democrats mainly do not desire Biden to run once again, however celebration elites aren’t acting that way.

Carolyn Maloney stated she didn’t think Biden would run once again in 2024.!! To me, that’s the sign of a party unified behind their leader.