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If sufficient of them changed in red states in a close race, it might deny Mr Trump victory in the electoral college. It is easy to forget that Mr Trump loses elections.

The factor Mr Trump campaigns so hard versus the trustworthiness of the tally box is that he knows the ballot box can beat him.

At the Conservative Political Action Conference in Texas on Saturday, former President Donald Trump dropped another tease that he will soon announce he is running for president in 2024. “We will make America happy once again. We will make America safe again. And we will make America terrific once again,” he informed the CPAC audience.

Don’t doubt that he will. If anything, significant actions against him by the Justice Department, in this case connected to categorized information Trump supposedly took with him from the White House, according to an NBC source familiar with what occurred, is just most likely to grease those ambitions even more.

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Any worry he has of losing has actually undoubtedly been displaced by a more severe one: doing time. Trump must pine for the Justice Department’s guard from prosecution that the presidential seal affords.

He would nearly surely be out on bail, still running for the presidency and claiming that the verdict would be reversed on appeal.

Among those arguing Trump won’t run once again was Michael Cohen. Cohen’s observation seemed reasonable then.

In recent weeks, we have actually seen an avalanche of proof from your home committee examining the events of Jan. 6 about Trump’s prospective criminality leading up to and on that eventful day. Even prior to Monday’s search, we saw news of a speeding up Justice Department investigation considering whether Trump tried to overturn the 2020 election.

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And in February, the National Archives asked for that the Justice Department look at whether Trump’s handling of White House records broke federal law. For this reason, any fear he has of losing has actually surely been displaced by a more major one: doing time. Trump needs to pine for the Justice Department’s shield from prosecution that the governmental seal pays for.

And once the presidency is won, are your people going to impose the guidelines versus you? As for Cohen’s assertion that Trump would surrender his reliability if he lost a 2nd time, where’s the proof that his fans would disbelieve his unavoidable claim that he actually won?

Provided all these elements, whatever legal jeopardy he may remain in, anticipate a Trump statement right after the midterms saying he plans to be the first president to have ever had an election taken and lived to win 4 years later on.

Is there a Democrat who can take on Biden? (Alex Samuels, politics press reporter): I don’t believe so, Sarah, particularly if Trump is the candidate. If Trump announces that he’s running for a 2nd term, I think: 1) Biden will run again, and 2) there won’t be a destructive main to take him down.

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Bernie Sanders stepping up to the plate and bring in a decent share of the vote, but in 2024, I do not believe he ‘d bother, or be effective. Sanders has already stated that he will not run versus Biden. (They’re friends!) More like frenemies. Ugh, we need more political relationship stories. (Geoffrey Skelley, senior elections expert): That’s an asset, Alex, about Democrats likely not wishing to take part in an untidy main.

If Trump looms large, that may motivate greater Democratic unity. Regardless, however, it’s really difficult to take on an incumbent president in a main no incumbent has actually ever lost renomination in the contemporary governmental primary period.

Yeah, and the incumbent presidents who have dealt with severe renomination battles (e. g., previous President Jimmy Carter) lost their subsequent basic election. No Democrat will wish to be blamed for tanking Biden’s possibilities against Trump. Another problem: I understand surveys show that Democrats mainly do not want Biden to run once again, however celebration elites aren’t acting that way.

Carolyn Maloney said she didn’t think Biden would run once again in 2024.!! To me, that’s the sign of a party joined behind their leader.