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If enough of them switched in red states in a close race, it might deny Mr Trump triumph in the electoral college. It is simple to forget that Mr Trump loses elections.

The factor Mr Trump campaigns so hard against the trustworthiness of the ballot box is that he understands the ballot box can beat him.

At the Conservative Political Action Conference in Texas on Saturday, previous President Donald Trump dropped another tease that he will quickly reveal he is running for president in 2024. “We will make America happy once again. We will make America safe again. And we will make America fantastic again,” he informed the CPAC audience.

and we may have to do it once again.” Don’t question that he will. The FBI raid on Trump’s Mar-a-Lago home in Palm Beach, Florida, on Monday appears like it would put the brakes on the former president’s political aspirations. But if anything, dramatic actions against him by the Justice Department, in this case connected to categorized info Trump apparently took with him from the White Home, according to an NBC source acquainted with what took place, is just most likely to grease those aspirations even more.

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Any fear he has of losing has certainly been displaced by a more serious one: doing time. Trump should pine for the Justice Department’s guard from prosecution that the presidential seal pays for.

He would nearly definitely be out on bail, still running for the presidency and declaring that the verdict would be reversed on appeal.

Amongst those arguing Trump won’t run once again was Michael Cohen. Cohen’s observation seemed sensible then.

In current weeks, we’ve witnessed an avalanche of evidence from the House committee examining the occasions of Jan. 6 about Trump’s potential criminality leading up to and on that fateful day.

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Any worry he has of losing has undoubtedly been displaced by a more severe one: doing time.

And as soon as the presidency is won, are your individuals going to enforce the rules against you? As for Cohen’s assertion that Trump would surrender his trustworthiness if he lost a 2nd time, where’s the proof that his fans would disbelieve his unavoidable claim that he in fact won? Isn’t the threat to his moneymaking device greater if he drops the possibility of returning to the White Home? His political significance would be outshone by that of those who get the torch, while his name could be in the headlines mainly for his entanglement with the law.

Provided all these aspects, whatever legal jeopardy he might remain in, expect a Trump announcement right after the midterms saying he means to be the first president to have ever had actually an election stolen and lived to win 4 years later.

Is there a Democrat who can take on Biden? (Alex Samuels, politics reporter): I do not think so, Sarah, especially if Trump is the nominee. If Trump reveals that he’s running for a 2nd term, I think: 1) Biden will run again, and 2) there won’t be a damaging primary to take him down.

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Bernie Sanders stepping up to the plate and bring in a good share of the vote, but in 2024, I do not believe he ‘d bother, or be successful. More like frenemies., senior elections analyst): That’s an excellent point, Alex, about Democrats likely not wanting to participate in an untidy primary.

If Trump looms big, that might motivate higher Democratic unity. Regardless, though, it’s really difficult to take on an incumbent president in a main no incumbent has actually ever lost renomination in the modern-day presidential main period. There have been some main polls testing Biden versus a multicandidate field that have him leading just in the 30s in regards to assistance.

Yeah, and the incumbent presidents who have actually faced serious renomination fights (e. g., previous President Jimmy Carter) lost their subsequent general election. No Democrat will wish to be blamed for tanking Biden’s opportunities against Trump. Another problem: I understand surveys show that Democrats largely do not want Biden to run once again, however party elites aren’t acting that way.

Carolyn Maloney said she didn’t think Biden would run again in 2024. Her main opponents leapt all over her, and she had to ask forgiveness!.?.!! To me, that’s the sign of a party joined behind their leader. (It’s practically Trump-like!) Yeah, I don’t see anybody running if Biden makes great on his stated intent to run again.