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If adequate of them switched in red states in a close race, it might deny Mr Trump success in the electoral college. It is simple to forget that Mr Trump loses elections.

The reason Mr Trump projects so hard against the credibility of the ballot box is that he understands the tally box can beat him.

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We will make America safe once again. And we will make America terrific once again,” he told the CPAC audience.

and we might have to do it once again.” Do not question that he will. The FBI raid on Trump’s Mar-a-Lago home in Palm Beach, Florida, on Monday appears like it would put the brakes on the former president’s political aspirations. However if anything, remarkable actions against him by the Justice Department, in this case tied to classified details Trump apparently took with him from the White Home, according to an NBC source familiar with what took place, is only likely to grease those aspirations even more.

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Any fear he has of losing has undoubtedly been displaced by a more major one: doing time. Trump needs to pine for the Justice Department’s shield from prosecution that the presidential seal affords.

He would nearly surely be out on bail, still running for the presidency and declaring that the verdict would be reversed on appeal.

We disregard them at our hazard doing so means losing valuable time both advising Americans of the “clear and present risk” to our Constitution that he poses and preparing for how best to beat him. First amongst those arguing Trump won’t run again was Michael Cohen. Trump’s previous attorney who knows the guy in addition to anyone stated in November: “His fragile ego can not stand to be thought about a two-time loser.” Cohen’s observation appeared sensible then.

In current weeks, we’ve witnessed an avalanche of evidence from your home committee examining the occasions of Jan. 6 about Trump’s potential criminality leading up to and on that fateful day. Even before Monday’s search, we saw news of a speeding up Justice Department investigation thinking about whether Trump tried to reverse the 2020 election.

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Any fear he has of losing has definitely been displaced by a more serious one: doing time.

And as soon as the presidency is won, are your people going to impose the rules against you? As for Cohen’s assertion that Trump would surrender his reliability if he lost a second time, where’s the proof that his fans would disbelieve his unavoidable claim that he actually won?

Offered all these factors, whatever legal jeopardy he might be in, anticipate a Trump statement soon after the midterms saying he means to be the very first president to have ever had an election stolen and lived to win 4 years later.

, politics press reporter): I do not think so, Sarah, particularly if Trump is the candidate. If Trump announces that he’s running for a 2nd term, I think: 1) Biden will run once again, and 2) there will not be a destructive primary to take him down.

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Bernie Sanders stepping up to the plate and bring in a decent share of the vote, but in 2024, I don’t believe he ‘d trouble, or be effective. Sanders has currently said that he will not run versus Biden. (They’re good friends!) More like frenemies. Ugh, we need more political relationship stories. (Geoffrey Skelley, senior elections expert): That’s a good point, Alex, about Democrats likely not wanting to take part in an untidy primary.

If Trump looms big, that might encourage higher Democratic unity. Regardless, however, it’s very difficult to take on an incumbent president in a main no incumbent has actually ever lost renomination in the modern-day governmental primary age. There have been some primary surveys testing Biden against a multicandidate field that have him leading only in the 30s in regards to assistance.

Yeah, and the incumbent presidents who have actually dealt with severe renomination battles (e. g., former President Jimmy Carter) lost their subsequent general election. No Democrat will wish to be blamed for tanking Biden’s opportunities against Trump. Another issue: I know surveys show that Democrats mostly don’t want Biden to run again, but party elites aren’t acting that method.

Carolyn Maloney said she didn’t believe Biden would run again in 2024. Her primary opponents leapt all over her, and she had to say sorry!.?.!! To me, that’s the indication of a celebration joined behind their leader. (It’s practically Trump-like!) Yeah, I don’t see anybody running if Biden makes great on his stated intention to run once again.