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If enough of them changed in red states in a close race, it could deny Mr Trump success in the electoral college. Much better would be to depend on the good sense of the American people. It is easy to forget that Mr Trump loses elections. In the four years of his presidency he lost his celebration both houses of Congress in addition to the White House.

The factor Mr Trump campaigns so hard versus the reliability of the ballot box is that he understands the ballot box can beat him.

At the Conservative Political Action Conference in Texas on Saturday, former President Donald Trump dropped another tease that he will quickly reveal he is running for president in 2024. “We will make America happy once again. We will make America safe again. And we will make America excellent again,” he told the CPAC audience.

and we might have to do it once again.” Don’t doubt that he will. The FBI raid on Trump’s Mar-a-Lago home in Palm Beach, Florida, on Monday appears like it would put the brakes on the previous president’s political aspirations. However if anything, dramatic actions against him by the Justice Department, in this case tied to categorized info Trump presumably took with him from the White Home, according to an NBC source acquainted with what took place, is only likely to grease those aspirations further.

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Any worry he has of losing has undoubtedly been displaced by a more severe one: doing time. Trump must pine for the Justice Department’s shield from prosecution that the governmental seal affords.

He would practically definitely be out on bail, still running for the presidency and declaring that the decision would be reversed on appeal.

Amongst those arguing Trump won’t run again was Michael Cohen. Cohen’s observation seemed practical then.

In current weeks, we’ve seen an avalanche of proof from your house committee examining the events of Jan. 6 about Trump’s potential criminality leading up to and on that eventful day. Even prior to Monday’s search, we saw news of an accelerating Justice Department examination considering whether Trump attempted to reverse the 2020 election.

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And in February, the National Archives asked for that the Justice Department take a look at whether Trump’s handling of White House records broke federal law. Hence, any fear he has of losing has actually definitely been displaced by a more serious one: doing time. Trump needs to crave the Justice Department’s shield from prosecution that the governmental seal manages.

And once the presidency is won, are your people going to implement the guidelines against you? As for Cohen’s assertion that Trump would surrender his reliability if he lost a second time, where’s the proof that his fans would disbelieve his inevitable claim that he really won?

Offered all these aspects, whatever legal jeopardy he may be in, expect a Trump announcement right after the midterms saying he intends to be the first president to have ever had an election stolen and lived to win 4 years later.

, politics reporter): I do not think so, Sarah, particularly if Trump is the candidate. If Trump reveals that he’s running for a 2nd term, I think: 1) Biden will run once again, and 2) there won’t be a destructive main to take him down.

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Bernie Sanders stepping up to the plate and bring in a decent share of the vote, however in 2024, I don’t think he ‘d trouble, or be successful. More like frenemies., senior elections analyst): That’s a good point, Alex, about Democrats likely not wanting to participate in a messy primary.

If Trump looms big, that might motivate greater Democratic unity. Regardless, though, it’s really hard to take on an incumbent president in a primary no incumbent has actually ever lost renomination in the modern presidential primary period.

Yeah, and the incumbent presidents who have faced major renomination battles (e. g., previous President Jimmy Carter) lost their subsequent basic election. No Democrat will wish to be blamed for tanking Biden’s chances versus Trump. Another complication: I know polls reveal that Democrats mostly do not desire Biden to run once again, but party elites aren’t acting that way.

Carolyn Maloney said she didn’t think Biden would run once again in 2024. Her primary opponents jumped all over her, and she had to apologize!.?.!! To me, that’s the sign of a party joined behind their leader. (It’s practically Trump-like!) Yeah, I do not see anyone running if Biden makes great on his stated intent to run once again.