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If enough of them switched in red states in a close race, it might deny Mr Trump victory in the electoral college. It is simple to forget that Mr Trump loses elections.

The reason Mr Trump campaigns so hard versus the dependability of the tally box is that he knows the tally box can defeat him.

At the Conservative Political Action Conference in Texas on Saturday, former President Donald Trump dropped another tease that he will quickly announce he is running for president in 2024. “We will make America proud once again. We will make America safe again. And we will make America fantastic again,” he informed the CPAC audience.

and we may have to do it again.” Don’t question that he will. The FBI raid on Trump’s Mar-a-Lago house in Palm Beach, Florida, on Monday appears like it would put the brakes on the previous president’s political ambitions. If anything, remarkable actions versus him by the Justice Department, in this case connected to classified info Trump apparently took with him from the White House, according to an NBC source familiar with what occurred, is only likely to grease those aspirations further.

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Any fear he has of losing has certainly been displaced by a more major one: doing time. Trump needs to pine for the Justice Department’s shield from prosecution that the presidential seal pays for.

He would nearly certainly be out on bail, still running for the presidency and declaring that the verdict would be reversed on appeal.

We ignore them at our hazard doing so implies losing precious time both reminding Americans of the “clear and present danger” to our Constitution that he presents and getting ready for how best to beat him. Amongst those arguing Trump will not run once again was Michael Cohen. Trump’s former lawyer who knows the man as well as anyone stated in November: “His vulnerable ego can not stand to be thought about a two-time loser.” Cohen’s observation appeared reasonable then.

In current weeks, we’ve seen an avalanche of proof from your home committee examining the occasions of Jan. 6 about Trump’s potential criminality leading up to and on that eventful day. Even before Monday’s search, we saw news of an accelerating Justice Department examination considering whether Trump tried to reverse the 2020 election.

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Any fear he has of losing has undoubtedly been displaced by a more severe one: doing time.

And as soon as the presidency is won, are your individuals going to impose the rules versus you? As for Cohen’s assertion that Trump would surrender his credibility if he lost a second time, where’s the proof that his fans would disbelieve his unavoidable claim that he actually won? Isn’t the threat to his moneymaking apparatus greater if he drops the possibility of returning to the White House? His political relevance would be beat by that of those who get the torch, while his name might be in the headlines primarily for his entanglement with the law.

Given all these aspects, whatever legal jeopardy he may remain in, expect a Trump announcement not long after the midterms saying he plans to be the very first president to have ever had an election stolen and lived to win 4 years later.

, politics press reporter): I do not think so, Sarah, specifically if Trump is the nominee. If Trump reveals that he’s running for a 2nd term, I think: 1) Biden will run once again, and 2) there won’t be a destructive primary to take him down.

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Bernie Sanders stepping up to the plate and bring in a decent share of the vote, however in 2024, I do not believe he ‘d trouble, or be successful. More like frenemies., senior elections expert): That’s a good point, Alex, about Democrats likely not desiring to participate in a messy main.

If Trump looms big, that might motivate higher Democratic unity. Regardless, though, it’s very difficult to take on an incumbent president in a main no incumbent has ever lost renomination in the contemporary presidential main age. There have actually been some main polls evaluating Biden versus a multicandidate field that have him leading only in the 30s in terms of assistance.

Yeah, and the incumbent presidents who have dealt with serious renomination battles (e. g., former President Jimmy Carter) lost their subsequent basic election. No Democrat will want to be blamed for tanking Biden’s possibilities versus Trump. Another issue: I know polls show that Democrats largely do not desire Biden to run again, but celebration elites aren’t acting that method.

Carolyn Maloney stated she didn’t believe Biden would run once again in 2024. Her primary opponents leapt all over her, and she needed to ask forgiveness!.?.!! To me, that’s the indication of a celebration unified behind their leader. (It’s practically Trump-like!) Yeah, I don’t see anyone running if Biden makes great on his stated intention to run once again.