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If sufficient of them switched in red states in a close race, it might deny Mr Trump triumph in the electoral college. It is simple to forget that Mr Trump loses elections.

The factor Mr Trump campaigns so hard against the reliability of the tally box is that he understands the tally box can beat him.

We will make America safe again. And we will make America fantastic again,” he informed the CPAC audience.

and we might need to do it once again.” Don’t doubt that he will. The FBI raid on Trump’s Mar-a-Lago home in Palm Beach, Florida, on Monday appears like it would put the brakes on the former president’s political ambitions. If anything, significant actions versus him by the Justice Department, in this case connected to categorized details Trump presumably took with him from the White Home, according to an NBC source familiar with what took place, is just most likely to grease those ambitions further.

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Any fear he has of losing has actually surely been displaced by a more serious one: doing time. Trump should pine for the Justice Department’s shield from prosecution that the presidential seal affords. Trump might think that an indictment might help his political profile, promoting his longtime campaign theme of being an aggrieved martyr.

He would practically definitely be out on bail, still running for the presidency and declaring that the decision would be reversed on appeal.

We overlook them at our hazard doing so implies losing valuable time both reminding Americans of the “clear and present risk” to our Constitution that he postures and getting ready for how best to defeat him. First amongst those arguing Trump will not run again was Michael Cohen. Trump’s former lawyer who understands the guy as well as anybody said in November: “His delicate ego can not stand to be thought about a two-time loser.” Cohen’s observation seemed practical then.

In current weeks, we’ve experienced an avalanche of proof from your house committee examining the occasions of Jan. 6 about Trump’s possible criminality leading up to and on that fateful day. Even before Monday’s search, we saw news of a speeding up Justice Department investigation thinking about whether Trump attempted to reverse the 2020 election.

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And in February, the National Archives asked for that the Justice Department look at whether Trump’s handling of White House records broke federal law. Any worry he has of losing has actually undoubtedly been displaced by a more major one: doing time. Trump should pine for the Justice Department’s guard from prosecution that the governmental seal manages.

And when the presidency is won, are your people going to enforce the rules versus you? As for Cohen’s assertion that Trump would surrender his credibility if he lost a second time, where’s the proof that his fans would disbelieve his unavoidable claim that he in fact won?

Given all these elements, whatever legal jeopardy he might remain in, anticipate a Trump statement not long after the midterms stating he means to be the first president to have ever had actually an election stolen and lived to win 4 years later.

Exists a Democrat who can handle Biden? (Alex Samuels, politics press reporter): I don’t think so, Sarah, specifically if Trump is the candidate. If Trump reveals that he’s running for a second term, I believe: 1) Biden will run once again, and 2) there won’t be a damaging main to take him down.

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Bernie Sanders stepping up to the plate and bring in a decent share of the vote, but in 2024, I do not believe he ‘d trouble, or be successful. More like frenemies., senior elections expert): That’s an excellent point, Alex, about Democrats likely not wanting to get involved in a messy main.

If Trump looms big, that might encourage greater Democratic unity. Regardless, however, it’s very hard to take on an incumbent president in a main no incumbent has actually ever lost renomination in the modern-day governmental primary age.

Yeah, and the incumbent presidents who have dealt with serious renomination battles (e. g., previous President Jimmy Carter) lost their subsequent general election. No Democrat will wish to be blamed for tanking Biden’s opportunities versus Trump. Another issue: I understand surveys reveal that Democrats mainly don’t desire Biden to run once again, but party elites aren’t acting that way.

Carolyn Maloney said she didn’t think Biden would run again in 2024.!! To me, that’s the indication of a party united behind their leader.