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If adequate of them switched in red states in a close race, it might deny Mr Trump victory in the electoral college. It is easy to forget that Mr Trump loses elections.

The factor Mr Trump campaigns so hard versus the dependability of the tally box is that he understands the tally box can defeat him.

We will make America safe once again. And we will make America excellent once again,” he told the CPAC audience.

and we may need to do it once again.” Do not question that he will. The FBI raid on Trump’s Mar-a-Lago house in Palm Beach, Florida, on Monday looks like it would put the brakes on the previous president’s political ambitions. But if anything, remarkable actions versus him by the Justice Department, in this case connected to classified information Trump apparently took with him from the White Home, according to an NBC source acquainted with what took place, is just most likely to grease those aspirations even more.

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Any fear he has of losing has actually certainly been displaced by a more major one: doing time. Trump should pine for the Justice Department’s shield from prosecution that the presidential seal affords.

Even if Trump were founded guilty before the 2024 election, it would not likely be much prior to. He would almost undoubtedly be out on bail, still running for the presidency and declaring that the decision would be reversed on appeal. Since late July, Trump remained the leading option for the Republican governmental election, with about 50% support, according to the Real, Clear, Politics poll average and nearly every specific poll that shows him with huge double-digit leads over his closest competitor.

Among those arguing Trump won’t run once again was Michael Cohen. Cohen’s observation seemed sensible then.

In current weeks, we’ve experienced an avalanche of evidence from the Home committee examining the occasions of Jan. 6 about Trump’s potential criminality leading up to and on that eventful day.

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And in February, the National Archives asked for that the Justice Department take a look at whether Trump’s handling of White House records broke federal law. Any worry he has of losing has undoubtedly been displaced by a more major one: doing time. Trump must pine for the Justice Department’s guard from prosecution that the governmental seal manages.

And when the presidency is won, are your people going to enforce the guidelines against you? When it comes to Cohen’s assertion that Trump would surrender his trustworthiness if he lost a 2nd time, where’s the proof that his fans would disbelieve his unavoidable claim that he actually won? Isn’t the threat to his moneymaking apparatus greater if he drops the possibility of returning to the White House? His political significance would be outshone by that of those who choose up the torch, while his name could be in the headlines mainly for his entanglement with the law.

Provided all these elements, whatever legal jeopardy he may be in, expect a Trump announcement not long after the midterms stating he intends to be the first president to have ever had an election stolen and lived to win four years later.

Is there a Democrat who can handle Biden? (Alex Samuels, politics reporter): I don’t think so, Sarah, specifically if Trump is the candidate. If Trump announces that he’s running for a 2nd term, I believe: 1) Biden will run once again, and 2) there won’t be a destructive main to take him down.

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Bernie Sanders stepping up to the plate and drawing in a good share of the vote, but in 2024, I do not think he ‘d trouble, or achieve success. Sanders has currently said that he will not run versus Biden. (They’re buddies!) More like frenemies. Ugh, we need more political relationship stories. (Geoffrey Skelley, senior elections expert): That’s an asset, Alex, about Democrats likely not wishing to get involved in a messy main.

If Trump looms big, that may motivate higher Democratic unity. Regardless, however, it’s extremely hard to take on an incumbent president in a primary no incumbent has actually ever lost renomination in the modern presidential main period.

Yeah, and the incumbent presidents who have faced severe renomination fights (e. g., previous President Jimmy Carter) lost their subsequent basic election. No Democrat will want to be blamed for tanking Biden’s opportunities against Trump. Another issue: I know polls reveal that Democrats mostly do not want Biden to run once again, but party elites aren’t acting that method.

Carolyn Maloney said she didn’t believe Biden would run once again in 2024. Her primary challengers jumped all over her, and she had to apologize!.?.!! To me, that’s the indication of a party unified behind their leader. (It’s practically Trump-like!) Yeah, I don’t see anyone running if Biden makes great on his stated intention to run again.