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If enough of them switched in red states in a close race, it could deny Mr Trump success in the electoral college. It is easy to forget that Mr Trump loses elections.

The reason Mr Trump campaigns so hard versus the reliability of the ballot box is that he understands the tally box can defeat him.

At the Conservative Political Action Conference in Texas on Saturday, previous President Donald Trump dropped another tease that he will soon announce he is running for president in 2024. “We will make America proud once again. We will make America safe once again. And we will make America great once again,” he told the CPAC audience.

and we might need to do it again.” Don’t doubt that he will. The FBI raid on Trump’s Mar-a-Lago house in Palm Beach, Florida, on Monday appears like it would put the brakes on the former president’s political aspirations. But if anything, remarkable actions versus him by the Justice Department, in this case tied to classified information Trump allegedly took with him from the White House, according to an NBC source familiar with what occurred, is just likely to grease those ambitions even more.

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Any worry he has of losing has actually certainly been displaced by a more serious one: doing time. Trump needs to pine for the Justice Department’s guard from prosecution that the governmental seal pays for. Trump may believe that an indictment might help his political profile, promoting his longtime project style of being an aggrieved martyr.

He would almost surely be out on bail, still running for the presidency and claiming that the decision would be reversed on appeal.

Amongst those arguing Trump will not run again was Michael Cohen. Cohen’s observation seemed practical then.

In current weeks, we’ve experienced an avalanche of proof from the House committee investigating the events of Jan. 6 about Trump’s potential criminality leading up to and on that eventful day. Even before Monday’s search, we saw news of an accelerating Justice Department examination considering whether Trump attempted to reverse the 2020 election.

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And in February, the National Archives asked for that the Justice Department look at whether Trump’s handling of White House records broke federal law. Any fear he has of losing has certainly been displaced by a more serious one: doing time. Trump should pine for the Justice Department’s shield from prosecution that the presidential seal pays for.

And when the presidency is won, are your people going to impose the guidelines against you? As for Cohen’s assertion that Trump would surrender his reliability if he lost a 2nd time, where’s the proof that his fans would disbelieve his unavoidable claim that he really won? Certainly, isn’t the threat to his moneymaking apparatus greater if he drops the prospect of going back to the White Home? His political significance would be outshone by that of those who get the torch, while his name might be in the headlines mainly for his entanglement with the law.

Provided all these elements, whatever legal jeopardy he might remain in, expect a Trump statement soon after the midterms saying he intends to be the very first president to have ever had an election stolen and lived to win 4 years later on.

Is there a Democrat who can take on Biden? (Alex Samuels, politics press reporter): I do not believe so, Sarah, particularly if Trump is the candidate. If Trump announces that he’s running for a second term, I think: 1) Biden will run again, and 2) there won’t be a damaging primary to take him down.

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Bernie Sanders stepping up to the plate and bring in a decent share of the vote, however in 2024, I don’t believe he ‘d bother, or be effective. More like frenemies., senior elections expert): That’s an excellent point, Alex, about Democrats likely not wanting to participate in an untidy main.

If Trump looms large, that might motivate greater Democratic unity. Regardless, though, it’s really tough to take on an incumbent president in a main no incumbent has actually ever lost renomination in the contemporary governmental main era.

Yeah, and the incumbent presidents who have actually dealt with severe renomination battles (e. g., previous President Jimmy Carter) lost their subsequent basic election. No Democrat will want to be blamed for tanking Biden’s opportunities against Trump. Another complication: I know surveys show that Democrats largely do not desire Biden to run once again, however celebration elites aren’t acting that method.

Carolyn Maloney stated she didn’t believe Biden would run again in 2024.!! To me, that’s the indication of a party joined behind their leader.