About Is Trump The Answer

If sufficient of them switched in red states in a close race, it might reject Mr Trump victory in the electoral college. It is easy to forget that Mr Trump loses elections.

The factor Mr Trump campaigns so hard against the dependability of the tally box is that he understands the tally box can beat him.

At the Conservative Political Action Conference in Texas on Saturday, former President Donald Trump dropped another tease that he will soon announce he is running for president in 2024. “We will make America happy once again. We will make America safe once again. And we will make America excellent again,” he told the CPAC audience.

Don’t doubt that he will. If anything, significant actions against him by the Justice Department, in this case connected to classified info Trump supposedly took with him from the White Home, according to an NBC source familiar with what took place, is only likely to grease those aspirations even more.

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Any worry he has of losing has actually surely been displaced by a more severe one: doing time. Trump should crave the Justice Department’s guard from prosecution that the governmental seal affords. Trump might think that an indictment might assist his political profile, promoting his longtime project theme of being an aggrieved martyr.

He would nearly definitely be out on bail, still running for the presidency and claiming that the verdict would be reversed on appeal.

Among those arguing Trump will not run again was Michael Cohen. Cohen’s observation appeared practical then.

In current weeks, we’ve witnessed an avalanche of evidence from the Home committee investigating the events of Jan. 6 about Trump’s possible criminality leading up to and on that eventful day.

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Any worry he has of losing has actually surely been displaced by a more major one: doing time.

And once the presidency is won, are your people going to enforce the rules versus you? As for Cohen’s assertion that Trump would surrender his trustworthiness if he lost a second time, where’s the proof that his fans would disbelieve his inevitable claim that he actually won?

Provided all these elements, whatever legal jeopardy he may remain in, expect a Trump statement soon after the midterms saying he plans to be the very first president to have ever had an election stolen and lived to win 4 years later.

Exists a Democrat who can take on Biden? (Alex Samuels, politics reporter): I do not think so, Sarah, particularly if Trump is the nominee. If Trump reveals that he’s running for a second term, I believe: 1) Biden will run once again, and 2) there won’t be a damaging primary to take him down.

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Bernie Sanders stepping up to the plate and drawing in a good share of the vote, but in 2024, I don’t believe he ‘d bother, or succeed. Sanders has actually already stated that he will not run against Biden. (They’re friends!) More like frenemies. Ugh, we need more political friendship stories. (Geoffrey Skelley, senior elections analyst): That’s a great point, Alex, about Democrats likely not wishing to take part in a messy primary.

If Trump looms big, that may motivate greater Democratic unity. Regardless, though, it’s very difficult to take on an incumbent president in a main no incumbent has ever lost renomination in the modern presidential main period. There have actually been some primary polls testing Biden versus a multicandidate field that have him leading but only in the 30s in terms of support.

Yeah, and the incumbent presidents who have actually dealt with serious renomination fights (e. g., former President Jimmy Carter) lost their subsequent general election. No Democrat will want to be blamed for tanking Biden’s possibilities against Trump. Another problem: I understand surveys show that Democrats mostly do not desire Biden to run once again, however celebration elites aren’t acting that method.

Carolyn Maloney said she didn’t believe Biden would run once again in 2024. Her main challengers jumped all over her, and she needed to ask forgiveness!.?.!! To me, that’s the indication of a celebration unified behind their leader. (It’s almost Trump-like!) Yeah, I do not see anybody running if Biden makes great on his stated intention to run once again.