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If enough of them switched in red states in a close race, it might deny Mr Trump success in the electoral college. It is easy to forget that Mr Trump loses elections.

The factor Mr Trump campaigns so hard versus the reliability of the ballot box is that he understands the ballot box can beat him.

At the Conservative Political Action Conference in Texas on Saturday, former President Donald Trump dropped another tease that he will quickly announce he is running for president in 2024. “We will make America proud again. We will make America safe again. And we will make America terrific again,” he told the CPAC audience.

and we might have to do it once again.” Don’t doubt that he will. The FBI raid on Trump’s Mar-a-Lago house in Palm Beach, Florida, on Monday looks like it would put the brakes on the former president’s political aspirations. If anything, dramatic actions versus him by the Justice Department, in this case connected to classified information Trump allegedly took with him from the White House, according to an NBC source familiar with what happened, is only likely to grease those aspirations even more.

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Any worry he has of losing has certainly been displaced by a more serious one: doing time. Trump should crave the Justice Department’s shield from prosecution that the presidential seal affords. Trump might think that an indictment could assist his political profile, promoting his longtime project style of being an aggrieved martyr.

He would practically certainly be out on bail, still running for the presidency and claiming that the verdict would be reversed on appeal.

Amongst those arguing Trump will not run again was Michael Cohen. Cohen’s observation appeared practical then.

In current weeks, we’ve witnessed an avalanche of proof from the House committee investigating the events of Jan. 6 about Trump’s potential criminality leading up to and on that eventful day.

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Any worry he has of losing has surely been displaced by a more major one: doing time.

And when the presidency is won, are your people going to enforce the rules versus you? As for Cohen’s assertion that Trump would surrender his credibility if he lost a second time, where’s the proof that his fans would disbelieve his inescapable claim that he in fact won?

Offered all these aspects, whatever legal jeopardy he might be in, expect a Trump announcement soon after the midterms stating he intends to be the first president to have ever had an election taken and lived to win 4 years later on.

Exists a Democrat who can handle Biden? (Alex Samuels, politics press reporter): I don’t think so, Sarah, especially if Trump is the nominee. If Trump announces that he’s running for a 2nd term, I think: 1) Biden will run once again, and 2) there won’t be a destructive primary to take him down.

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Bernie Sanders stepping up to the plate and bring in a good share of the vote, but in 2024, I do not think he ‘d trouble, or succeed. Sanders has currently stated that he will not run versus Biden. (They’re good friends!) More like frenemies. Ugh, we require more political friendship stories. (Geoffrey Skelley, senior elections analyst): That’s an asset, Alex, about Democrats likely not wanting to take part in an untidy main.

If Trump looms big, that might encourage greater Democratic unity. Regardless, however, it’s very difficult to take on an incumbent president in a main no incumbent has actually ever lost renomination in the contemporary presidential primary era.

Yeah, and the incumbent presidents who have dealt with major renomination fights (e. g., former President Jimmy Carter) lost their subsequent basic election. No Democrat will wish to be blamed for tanking Biden’s chances versus Trump. Another problem: I understand polls show that Democrats largely don’t desire Biden to run again, however party elites aren’t acting that method.

Carolyn Maloney said she didn’t believe Biden would run once again in 2024.!! To me, that’s the indication of a celebration joined behind their leader.