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If enough of them switched in red states in a close race, it might deny Mr Trump triumph in the electoral college. It is easy to forget that Mr Trump loses elections.

The factor Mr Trump projects so hard versus the credibility of the ballot box is that he understands the ballot box can beat him.

At the Conservative Political Action Conference in Texas on Saturday, former President Donald Trump dropped another tease that he will quickly announce he is running for president in 2024. “We will make America happy once again. We will make America safe again. And we will make America great again,” he told the CPAC audience.

and we may have to do it once again.” Don’t question that he will. The FBI raid on Trump’s Mar-a-Lago home in Palm Beach, Florida, on Monday looks like it would put the brakes on the previous president’s political aspirations. If anything, dramatic actions versus him by the Justice Department, in this case tied to categorized info Trump presumably took with him from the White Home, according to an NBC source familiar with what happened, is just likely to grease those ambitions even more.

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Any worry he has of losing has actually certainly been displaced by a more serious one: doing time. Trump should crave the Justice Department’s guard from prosecution that the presidential seal affords. Trump may believe that an indictment might help his political profile, promoting his longtime campaign style of being an aggrieved martyr.

He would practically certainly be out on bail, still running for the presidency and claiming that the verdict would be reversed on appeal.

Among those arguing Trump won’t run again was Michael Cohen. Cohen’s observation seemed sensible then.

In current weeks, we have actually seen an avalanche of evidence from your home committee investigating the events of Jan. 6 about Trump’s potential criminality leading up to and on that fateful day. Even prior to Monday’s search, we saw news of a speeding up Justice Department investigation considering whether Trump attempted to overturn the 2020 election.

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Any fear he has of losing has actually certainly been displaced by a more serious one: doing time.

And as soon as the presidency is won, are your individuals going to enforce the rules versus you? As for Cohen’s assertion that Trump would surrender his trustworthiness if he lost a 2nd time, where’s the proof that his fans would disbelieve his inescapable claim that he really won?

Offered all these elements, whatever legal jeopardy he may remain in, anticipate a Trump announcement quickly after the midterms saying he intends to be the first president to have ever had actually an election stolen and lived to win four years later on.

Is there a Democrat who can take on Biden? (Alex Samuels, politics press reporter): I do not believe so, Sarah, especially if Trump is the nominee. If Trump announces that he’s running for a 2nd term, I think: 1) Biden will run once again, and 2) there will not be a destructive main to take him down.

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Bernie Sanders stepping up to the plate and drawing in a decent share of the vote, but in 2024, I do not believe he ‘d bother, or be effective. More like frenemies., senior elections expert): That’s a great point, Alex, about Democrats likely not desiring to participate in a messy main.

If Trump looms big, that might motivate higher Democratic unity. Regardless, though, it’s extremely difficult to take on an incumbent president in a main no incumbent has actually ever lost renomination in the modern presidential main period. There have been some primary polls testing Biden versus a multicandidate field that have him leading only in the 30s in terms of assistance.

Yeah, and the incumbent presidents who have actually faced serious renomination battles (e. g., former President Jimmy Carter) lost their subsequent basic election. No Democrat will desire to be blamed for tanking Biden’s possibilities versus Trump. Another complication: I know polls show that Democrats mainly do not want Biden to run once again, however celebration elites aren’t acting that way.

Carolyn Maloney stated she didn’t think Biden would run again in 2024. Her main opponents jumped all over her, and she needed to say sorry!.?.!! To me, that’s the indication of a party unified behind their leader. (It’s nearly Trump-like!) Yeah, I don’t see anyone running if Biden makes great on his stated intent to run once again.