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If sufficient of them switched in red states in a close race, it could deny Mr Trump triumph in the electoral college. It is easy to forget that Mr Trump loses elections.

The reason Mr Trump projects so hard against the reliability of the ballot box is that he understands the ballot box can beat him.

We will make America safe once again. And we will make America fantastic again,” he told the CPAC audience.

Do not question that he will. If anything, dramatic actions versus him by the Justice Department, in this case connected to categorized details Trump supposedly took with him from the White Home, according to an NBC source familiar with what occurred, is only most likely to grease those ambitions further.

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Any fear he has of losing has actually surely been displaced by a more major one: doing time. Trump should pine for the Justice Department’s shield from prosecution that the presidential seal affords.

He would nearly certainly be out on bail, still running for the presidency and declaring that the decision would be reversed on appeal.

Among those arguing Trump won’t run once again was Michael Cohen. Cohen’s observation appeared practical then.

In recent weeks, we’ve seen an avalanche of proof from the Home committee investigating the events of Jan. 6 about Trump’s potential criminality leading up to and on that eventful day.

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Any fear he has of losing has certainly been displaced by a more severe one: doing time.

And as soon as the presidency is won, are your individuals going to implement the guidelines versus you? As for Cohen’s assertion that Trump would surrender his reliability if he lost a second time, where’s the proof that his fans would disbelieve his inevitable claim that he really won? Isn’t the threat to his moneymaking apparatus higher if he drops the prospect of returning to the White Home? His political significance would be beat by that of those who get the torch, while his name could be in the headlines predominantly for his entanglement with the law.

Provided all these aspects, whatever legal jeopardy he may remain in, expect a Trump announcement not long after the midterms stating he plans to be the very first president to have ever had an election stolen and lived to win 4 years later.

Exists a Democrat who can handle Biden? (Alex Samuels, politics press reporter): I do not believe so, Sarah, particularly if Trump is the candidate. If Trump reveals that he’s running for a 2nd term, I think: 1) Biden will run once again, and 2) there won’t be a damaging primary to take him down.

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Bernie Sanders stepping up to the plate and attracting a good share of the vote, but in 2024, I do not think he ‘d trouble, or be successful. Sanders has actually already said that he will not run against Biden. (They’re buddies!) More like frenemies. Ugh, we need more political friendship stories. (Geoffrey Skelley, senior elections expert): That’s an asset, Alex, about Democrats likely not desiring to take part in an untidy primary.

If Trump looms big, that may motivate higher Democratic unity. Regardless, however, it’s very tough to take on an incumbent president in a primary no incumbent has ever lost renomination in the modern-day governmental main era. There have been some primary surveys testing Biden versus a multicandidate field that have him leading only in the 30s in terms of support.

Yeah, and the incumbent presidents who have actually dealt with severe renomination battles (e. g., former President Jimmy Carter) lost their subsequent general election. No Democrat will want to be blamed for tanking Biden’s opportunities against Trump. Another complication: I understand surveys show that Democrats mostly do not desire Biden to run once again, however party elites aren’t acting that way.

Carolyn Maloney said she didn’t believe Biden would run again in 2024. Her main opponents leapt all over her, and she had to apologize!.?.!! To me, that’s the sign of a celebration unified behind their leader. (It’s practically Trump-like!) Yeah, I do not see anybody running if Biden makes excellent on his stated intention to run again.