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If sufficient of them changed in red states in a close race, it might reject Mr Trump victory in the electoral college. It is easy to forget that Mr Trump loses elections.

The factor Mr Trump projects so hard versus the dependability of the ballot box is that he knows the ballot box can defeat him.

We will make America safe again. And we will make America great once again,” he informed the CPAC audience.

and we may need to do it again.” Don’t doubt that he will. The FBI raid on Trump’s Mar-a-Lago house in Palm Beach, Florida, on Monday appears like it would put the brakes on the former president’s political aspirations. If anything, significant actions against him by the Justice Department, in this case tied to classified information Trump apparently took with him from the White House, according to an NBC source familiar with what happened, is only most likely to grease those aspirations even more.

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Any worry he has of losing has definitely been displaced by a more serious one: doing time. Trump needs to crave the Justice Department’s guard from prosecution that the presidential seal affords. Trump might think that an indictment could help his political profile, promoting his longtime project theme of being an aggrieved martyr.

He would practically surely be out on bail, still running for the presidency and claiming that the verdict would be reversed on appeal.

Among those arguing Trump will not run once again was Michael Cohen. Cohen’s observation seemed practical then.

In recent weeks, we have actually witnessed an avalanche of evidence from your home committee examining the occasions of Jan. 6 about Trump’s prospective criminality leading up to and on that fateful day. Even prior to Monday’s search, we saw news of an accelerating Justice Department investigation thinking about whether Trump attempted to reverse the 2020 election.

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Any worry he has of losing has undoubtedly been displaced by a more serious one: doing time.

And as soon as the presidency is won, are your individuals going to impose the guidelines against you? As for Cohen’s assertion that Trump would surrender his credibility if he lost a 2nd time, where’s the evidence that his fans would disbelieve his inescapable claim that he actually won? Isn’t the danger to his moneymaking apparatus higher if he drops the prospect of returning to the White Home? His political relevance would be outshone by that of those who get the torch, while his name could be in the headings mainly for his entanglement with the law.

Provided all these aspects, whatever legal jeopardy he might be in, expect a Trump statement right after the midterms stating he plans to be the very first president to have ever had actually an election taken and lived to win four years later on.

Is there a Democrat who can take on Biden? (Alex Samuels, politics reporter): I do not think so, Sarah, particularly if Trump is the nominee. If Trump reveals that he’s running for a 2nd term, I believe: 1) Biden will run again, and 2) there won’t be a damaging primary to take him down.

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Bernie Sanders stepping up to the plate and attracting a decent share of the vote, however in 2024, I do not believe he ‘d trouble, or be successful. Sanders has actually currently said that he will not run versus Biden. (They’re pals!) More like frenemies. Ugh, we require more political friendship stories. (Geoffrey Skelley, senior elections expert): That’s an asset, Alex, about Democrats likely not wanting to get involved in an untidy main.

If Trump looms big, that may motivate greater Democratic unity. Regardless, though, it’s very difficult to take on an incumbent president in a main no incumbent has ever lost renomination in the modern governmental main age. There have been some main surveys testing Biden versus a multicandidate field that have him leading but only in the 30s in terms of assistance.

Yeah, and the incumbent presidents who have faced major renomination fights (e. g., former President Jimmy Carter) lost their subsequent basic election. No Democrat will want to be blamed for tanking Biden’s chances against Trump. Another complication: I know surveys reveal that Democrats mostly don’t desire Biden to run once again, but celebration elites aren’t acting that way.

Carolyn Maloney stated she didn’t think Biden would run again in 2024.!! To me, that’s the indication of a celebration unified behind their leader.