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If enough of them changed in red states in a close race, it could reject Mr Trump victory in the electoral college. It is simple to forget that Mr Trump loses elections.
The factor Mr Trump campaigns so hard versus the credibility of the tally box is that he knows the ballot box can beat him.

We will make America safe once again. And we will make America fantastic once again,” he told the CPAC audience.
Don’t doubt that he will. If anything, significant actions against him by the Justice Department, in this case tied to categorized info Trump supposedly took with him from the White Home, according to an NBC source familiar with what happened, is just likely to grease those ambitions further.
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Any fear he has of losing has actually definitely been displaced by a more serious one: doing time. Trump must pine for the Justice Department’s guard from prosecution that the governmental seal affords.
He would practically undoubtedly be out on bail, still running for the presidency and declaring that the decision would be reversed on appeal.
Amongst those arguing Trump will not run once again was Michael Cohen. Cohen’s observation seemed practical then.
In recent weeks, we’ve witnessed an avalanche of proof from the Home committee examining the events of Jan. 6 about Trump’s potential criminality leading up to and on that fateful day. Even before Monday’s search, we saw news of a speeding up Justice Department investigation considering whether Trump tried to reverse the 2020 election.
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Any worry he has of losing has actually undoubtedly been displaced by a more severe one: doing time.
And when the presidency is won, are your people going to enforce the guidelines versus you? When it comes to Cohen’s assertion that Trump would surrender his credibility if he lost a 2nd time, where’s the evidence that his fans would disbelieve his unavoidable claim that he in fact won? Certainly, isn’t the danger to his moneymaking device greater if he drops the possibility of returning to the White Home? His political relevance would be outshone by that of those who get the torch, while his name could be in the headlines predominantly for his entanglement with the law.
Offered all these aspects, whatever legal jeopardy he might remain in, anticipate a Trump statement not long after the midterms saying he plans to be the very first president to have ever had an election taken and lived to win four years later.
Is there a Democrat who can handle Biden? (Alex Samuels, politics reporter): I don’t think so, Sarah, particularly if Trump is the candidate. If Trump announces that he’s running for a 2nd term, I believe: 1) Biden will run again, and 2) there won’t be a destructive main to take him down.
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Bernie Sanders stepping up to the plate and attracting a good share of the vote, however in 2024, I don’t believe he ‘d trouble, or be effective. More like frenemies., senior elections analyst): That’s a good point, Alex, about Democrats likely not wanting to take part in an untidy main.
If Trump looms big, that might encourage greater Democratic unity. Regardless, however, it’s extremely hard to take on an incumbent president in a main no incumbent has ever lost renomination in the modern governmental primary period.
Yeah, and the incumbent presidents who have actually faced serious renomination battles (e. g., previous President Jimmy Carter) lost their subsequent basic election. No Democrat will desire to be blamed for tanking Biden’s chances against Trump. Another complication: I understand surveys show that Democrats largely do not desire Biden to run once again, however party elites aren’t acting that way.
Carolyn Maloney stated she didn’t believe Biden would run once again in 2024.!! To me, that’s the indication of a party unified behind their leader.