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If adequate of them switched in red states in a close race, it might deny Mr Trump success in the electoral college. It is simple to forget that Mr Trump loses elections.
The reason Mr Trump campaigns so hard against the credibility of the tally box is that he knows the ballot box can beat him.

We will make America safe again. And we will make America fantastic once again,” he told the CPAC audience.
Don’t question that he will. If anything, remarkable actions against him by the Justice Department, in this case connected to categorized information Trump apparently took with him from the White Home, according to an NBC source familiar with what happened, is just likely to grease those aspirations even more.
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Any worry he has of losing has definitely been displaced by a more serious one: doing time. Trump must crave the Justice Department’s guard from prosecution that the governmental seal affords. Trump might think that an indictment could help his political profile, promoting his longtime project theme of being an aggrieved martyr.
He would nearly surely be out on bail, still running for the presidency and declaring that the decision would be reversed on appeal.
We disregard them at our hazard doing so implies losing precious time both reminding Americans of the “clear and present danger” to our Constitution that he poses and preparing for how finest to beat him. Amongst those arguing Trump will not run again was Michael Cohen. Trump’s previous lawyer who knows the male along with anyone stated in November: “His delicate ego can not stand to be considered a two-time loser.” Cohen’s observation seemed sensible then.
In recent weeks, we’ve experienced an avalanche of evidence from the Home committee examining the occasions of Jan. 6 about Trump’s possible criminality leading up to and on that eventful day.
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And in February, the National Archives requested that the Justice Department take a look at whether Trump’s handling of White Home records broke federal law. Any worry he has of losing has certainly been displaced by a more severe one: doing time. Trump needs to crave the Justice Department’s shield from prosecution that the presidential seal affords.
And as soon as the presidency is won, are your people going to enforce the guidelines versus you? As for Cohen’s assertion that Trump would surrender his trustworthiness if he lost a 2nd time, where’s the evidence that his fans would disbelieve his unavoidable claim that he in fact won?
Provided all these elements, whatever legal jeopardy he might be in, expect a Trump announcement not long after the midterms saying he means to be the very first president to have ever had an election stolen and lived to win 4 years later.
Is there a Democrat who can take on Biden? (Alex Samuels, politics reporter): I do not think so, Sarah, especially if Trump is the nominee. If Trump announces that he’s running for a 2nd term, I believe: 1) Biden will run again, and 2) there will not be a damaging primary to take him down.
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Bernie Sanders stepping up to the plate and bring in a good share of the vote, but in 2024, I don’t think he ‘d bother, or be successful. More like frenemies., senior elections expert): That’s a good point, Alex, about Democrats likely not wanting to get involved in an untidy main.
If Trump looms big, that may encourage greater Democratic unity. Regardless, however, it’s very hard to take on an incumbent president in a primary no incumbent has actually ever lost renomination in the modern presidential main age. There have been some main polls evaluating Biden against a multicandidate field that have him leading however just in the 30s in regards to support.
Yeah, and the incumbent presidents who have dealt with severe renomination fights (e. g., previous President Jimmy Carter) lost their subsequent general election. No Democrat will want to be blamed for tanking Biden’s chances against Trump. Another problem: I know surveys reveal that Democrats largely do not want Biden to run once again, but celebration elites aren’t acting that method.
Carolyn Maloney said she didn’t believe Biden would run again in 2024. Her primary challengers leapt all over her, and she had to say sorry!.?.!! To me, that’s the sign of a party united behind their leader. (It’s practically Trump-like!) Yeah, I don’t see anyone running if Biden makes great on his stated intention to run once again.