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If sufficient of them switched in red states in a close race, it could deny Mr Trump success in the electoral college. It is simple to forget that Mr Trump loses elections.

The reason Mr Trump campaigns so hard against the dependability of the tally box is that he knows the tally box can beat him.

At the Conservative Political Action Conference in Texas on Saturday, former President Donald Trump dropped another tease that he will soon announce he is running for president in 2024. “We will make America proud again. We will make America safe once again. And we will make America excellent again,” he told the CPAC audience.

and we might have to do it again.” Don’t question that he will. The FBI raid on Trump’s Mar-a-Lago house in Palm Beach, Florida, on Monday appears like it would put the brakes on the former president’s political aspirations. However if anything, significant actions against him by the Justice Department, in this case connected to classified information Trump apparently took with him from the White Home, according to an NBC source familiar with what occurred, is only most likely to grease those aspirations even more.

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Any fear he has of losing has surely been displaced by a more major one: doing time. Trump must pine for the Justice Department’s guard from prosecution that the governmental seal affords. Trump may believe that an indictment might help his political profile, promoting his longtime campaign style of being an aggrieved martyr.

He would nearly certainly be out on bail, still running for the presidency and declaring that the verdict would be reversed on appeal.

Among those arguing Trump won’t run again was Michael Cohen. Cohen’s observation appeared reasonable then.

In recent weeks, we’ve seen an avalanche of evidence from the Home committee examining the occasions of Jan. 6 about Trump’s prospective criminality leading up to and on that eventful day. Even prior to Monday’s search, we saw news of an accelerating Justice Department investigation thinking about whether Trump tried to reverse the 2020 election.

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Any worry he has of losing has actually undoubtedly been displaced by a more severe one: doing time.

And as soon as the presidency is won, are your individuals going to impose the rules versus you? When it comes to Cohen’s assertion that Trump would surrender his credibility if he lost a second time, where’s the proof that his fans would disbelieve his unavoidable claim that he actually won? Undoubtedly, isn’t the danger to his moneymaking apparatus higher if he drops the possibility of returning to the White Home? His political relevance would be outshone by that of those who get the torch, while his name could be in the headlines primarily for his entanglement with the law.

Given all these factors, whatever legal jeopardy he might remain in, expect a Trump announcement right after the midterms saying he means to be the first president to have ever had actually an election stolen and lived to win 4 years later on.

Is there a Democrat who can handle Biden? (Alex Samuels, politics press reporter): I do not think so, Sarah, especially if Trump is the nominee. If Trump reveals that he’s running for a 2nd term, I believe: 1) Biden will run once again, and 2) there will not be a damaging primary to take him down.

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Bernie Sanders stepping up to the plate and drawing in a good share of the vote, but in 2024, I don’t think he ‘d trouble, or be effective. More like frenemies., senior elections expert): That’s a great point, Alex, about Democrats likely not desiring to get involved in an unpleasant main.

If Trump looms large, that might encourage greater Democratic unity. Regardless, however, it’s extremely difficult to take on an incumbent president in a main no incumbent has actually ever lost renomination in the contemporary governmental primary age. There have actually been some main surveys testing Biden versus a multicandidate field that have him leading only in the 30s in terms of support.

Yeah, and the incumbent presidents who have faced serious renomination fights (e. g., previous President Jimmy Carter) lost their subsequent basic election. No Democrat will wish to be blamed for tanking Biden’s possibilities against Trump. Another complication: I understand surveys reveal that Democrats mainly don’t want Biden to run once again, but party elites aren’t acting that method.

Carolyn Maloney said she didn’t believe Biden would run again in 2024.!! To me, that’s the sign of a party united behind their leader.