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If adequate of them changed in red states in a close race, it might deny Mr Trump success in the electoral college. It is simple to forget that Mr Trump loses elections.
The factor Mr Trump projects so hard against the reliability of the tally box is that he understands the ballot box can defeat him.

We will make America safe once again. And we will make America excellent once again,” he told the CPAC audience.
Do not question that he will. If anything, dramatic actions versus him by the Justice Department, in this case connected to categorized information Trump allegedly took with him from the White House, according to an NBC source familiar with what occurred, is just most likely to grease those aspirations further.
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Any worry he has of losing has actually undoubtedly been displaced by a more serious one: doing time. Trump must crave the Justice Department’s shield from prosecution that the governmental seal pays for. Trump might think that an indictment might assist his political profile, promoting his longtime project style of being an aggrieved martyr.
He would nearly undoubtedly be out on bail, still running for the presidency and declaring that the decision would be reversed on appeal.
Among those arguing Trump will not run once again was Michael Cohen. Cohen’s observation seemed sensible then.
In recent weeks, we’ve seen an avalanche of evidence from your home committee examining the events of Jan. 6 about Trump’s prospective criminality leading up to and on that eventful day. Even prior to Monday’s search, we saw news of a speeding up Justice Department investigation thinking about whether Trump tried to reverse the 2020 election.
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And in February, the National Archives requested that the Justice Department take a look at whether Trump’s handling of White House records broke federal law. Any fear he has of losing has actually surely been displaced by a more severe one: doing time. Trump must pine for the Justice Department’s shield from prosecution that the governmental seal affords.
And when the presidency is won, are your individuals going to enforce the guidelines versus you? As for Cohen’s assertion that Trump would surrender his trustworthiness if he lost a second time, where’s the evidence that his fans would disbelieve his inevitable claim that he actually won?
Given all these factors, whatever legal jeopardy he might remain in, anticipate a Trump announcement right after the midterms saying he intends to be the first president to have ever had an election stolen and lived to win 4 years later.
Exists a Democrat who can take on Biden? (Alex Samuels, politics reporter): I don’t think so, Sarah, especially if Trump is the candidate. If Trump reveals that he’s running for a 2nd term, I believe: 1) Biden will run once again, and 2) there will not be a destructive primary to take him down.
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Bernie Sanders stepping up to the plate and attracting a decent share of the vote, but in 2024, I do not believe he ‘d trouble, or be effective. More like frenemies., senior elections expert): That’s a good point, Alex, about Democrats likely not wanting to take part in an untidy primary.
If Trump looms large, that may motivate higher Democratic unity. Regardless, though, it’s very hard to take on an incumbent president in a primary no incumbent has ever lost renomination in the contemporary governmental main era.
Yeah, and the incumbent presidents who have dealt with major renomination fights (e. g., former President Jimmy Carter) lost their subsequent general election. No Democrat will desire to be blamed for tanking Biden’s opportunities against Trump. Another complication: I understand polls show that Democrats mostly do not desire Biden to run once again, but party elites aren’t acting that way.
Carolyn Maloney said she didn’t believe Biden would run once again in 2024.!! To me, that’s the indication of a party unified behind their leader.