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If adequate of them switched in red states in a close race, it could deny Mr Trump victory in the electoral college. It is simple to forget that Mr Trump loses elections.

The factor Mr Trump projects so hard against the dependability of the tally box is that he knows the ballot box can defeat him.

We will make America safe again. And we will make America great again,” he told the CPAC audience.

and we may need to do it once again.” Don’t doubt that he will. The FBI raid on Trump’s Mar-a-Lago home in Palm Beach, Florida, on Monday appears like it would put the brakes on the former president’s political aspirations. If anything, dramatic actions versus him by the Justice Department, in this case connected to classified details Trump apparently took with him from the White House, according to an NBC source familiar with what took place, is only likely to grease those aspirations even more.

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Any fear he has of losing has certainly been displaced by a more severe one: doing time. Trump must pine for the Justice Department’s guard from prosecution that the governmental seal manages. Trump might believe that an indictment could help his political profile, promoting his longtime campaign theme of being an aggrieved martyr.

Even if Trump were convicted before the 2024 election, it wouldn’t likely be much before. He would practically undoubtedly be out on bail, still running for the presidency and declaring that the verdict would be reversed on appeal. As of late July, Trump remained the leading choice for the Republican presidential election, with about 50% support, according to the Real, Clear, Politics survey average and nearly every individual survey that reveals him with enormous double-digit leads over his closest competitor.

Among those arguing Trump won’t run again was Michael Cohen. Cohen’s observation seemed practical then.

In recent weeks, we’ve seen an avalanche of evidence from the House committee examining the events of Jan. 6 about Trump’s possible criminality leading up to and on that eventful day.

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And in February, the National Archives requested that the Justice Department take a look at whether Trump’s handling of White Home records broke federal law. Any fear he has of losing has actually definitely been displaced by a more major one: doing time. Trump should crave the Justice Department’s shield from prosecution that the presidential seal affords.

And when the presidency is won, are your individuals going to impose the guidelines versus you? As for Cohen’s assertion that Trump would surrender his reliability if he lost a 2nd time, where’s the proof that his fans would disbelieve his inescapable claim that he really won?

Given all these factors, whatever legal jeopardy he might be in, anticipate a Trump announcement not long after the midterms stating he plans to be the first president to have ever had an election taken and lived to win four years later.

, politics reporter): I do not think so, Sarah, especially if Trump is the nominee. If Trump announces that he’s running for a second term, I think: 1) Biden will run again, and 2) there will not be a destructive main to take him down.

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Bernie Sanders stepping up to the plate and attracting a decent share of the vote, but in 2024, I don’t believe he ‘d trouble, or achieve success. Sanders has actually already stated that he will not run versus Biden. (They’re buddies!) More like frenemies. Ugh, we need more political friendship stories. (Geoffrey Skelley, senior elections analyst): That’s an asset, Alex, about Democrats likely not wishing to take part in a messy primary.

If Trump looms big, that may encourage greater Democratic unity. Regardless, though, it’s very tough to take on an incumbent president in a main no incumbent has ever lost renomination in the modern-day presidential primary era. There have actually been some main surveys checking Biden against a multicandidate field that have him leading however just in the 30s in terms of support.

Yeah, and the incumbent presidents who have dealt with severe renomination fights (e. g., previous President Jimmy Carter) lost their subsequent basic election. No Democrat will want to be blamed for tanking Biden’s chances against Trump. Another issue: I understand surveys reveal that Democrats largely do not desire Biden to run again, but celebration elites aren’t acting that method.

Carolyn Maloney said she didn’t think Biden would run once again in 2024. Her primary opponents leapt all over her, and she needed to apologize!.?.!! To me, that’s the sign of a celebration unified behind their leader. (It’s practically Trump-like!) Yeah, I don’t see anyone running if Biden makes great on his stated objective to run once again.