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If adequate of them switched in red states in a close race, it might deny Mr Trump victory in the electoral college. Much better would be to depend on the great sense of the American people. It is easy to forget that Mr Trump loses elections. In the four years of his presidency he lost his party both houses of Congress along with the White House.

The factor Mr Trump projects so hard versus the trustworthiness of the tally box is that he knows the ballot box can beat him.

At the Conservative Political Action Conference in Texas on Saturday, previous President Donald Trump dropped another tease that he will quickly announce he is running for president in 2024. “We will make America proud again. We will make America safe once again. And we will make America great again,” he told the CPAC audience.

Do not doubt that he will. If anything, significant actions against him by the Justice Department, in this case connected to categorized information Trump presumably took with him from the White House, according to an NBC source familiar with what happened, is just likely to grease those ambitions further.

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Any fear he has of losing has definitely been displaced by a more severe one: doing time. Trump must crave the Justice Department’s shield from prosecution that the governmental seal pays for. Trump may think that an indictment could assist his political profile, promoting his longtime campaign theme of being an aggrieved martyr.

He would almost surely be out on bail, still running for the presidency and claiming that the verdict would be reversed on appeal.

Among those arguing Trump won’t run again was Michael Cohen. Cohen’s observation seemed reasonable then.

In current weeks, we have actually experienced an avalanche of evidence from the House committee examining the events of Jan. 6 about Trump’s potential criminality leading up to and on that eventful day.

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And in February, the National Archives requested that the Justice Department take a look at whether Trump’s handling of White Home records broke federal law. Any fear he has of losing has actually undoubtedly been displaced by a more severe one: doing time. Trump should crave the Justice Department’s guard from prosecution that the governmental seal affords.

And when the presidency is won, are your people going to impose the rules against you? As for Cohen’s assertion that Trump would surrender his credibility if he lost a 2nd time, where’s the proof that his fans would disbelieve his unavoidable claim that he in fact won?

Given all these elements, whatever legal jeopardy he might remain in, expect a Trump statement not long after the midterms stating he means to be the first president to have ever had actually an election taken and lived to win 4 years later.

Is there a Democrat who can take on Biden? (Alex Samuels, politics press reporter): I do not believe so, Sarah, specifically if Trump is the nominee. If Trump announces that he’s running for a 2nd term, I think: 1) Biden will run again, and 2) there will not be a destructive main to take him down.

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Bernie Sanders stepping up to the plate and attracting a decent share of the vote, but in 2024, I do not think he ‘d bother, or be effective. More like frenemies., senior elections expert): That’s a good point, Alex, about Democrats likely not wanting to get involved in an untidy main.

If Trump looms big, that may encourage higher Democratic unity. Regardless, however, it’s extremely difficult to take on an incumbent president in a main no incumbent has actually ever lost renomination in the modern governmental main era.

Yeah, and the incumbent presidents who have dealt with severe renomination battles (e. g., former President Jimmy Carter) lost their subsequent general election. No Democrat will wish to be blamed for tanking Biden’s opportunities versus Trump. Another issue: I know polls reveal that Democrats mostly don’t want Biden to run once again, however party elites aren’t acting that way.

Carolyn Maloney said she didn’t think Biden would run again in 2024.!! To me, that’s the indication of a celebration joined behind their leader.