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If adequate of them switched in red states in a close race, it might deny Mr Trump victory in the electoral college. It is easy to forget that Mr Trump loses elections.
The reason Mr Trump campaigns so hard against the reliability of the tally box is that he understands the ballot box can defeat him.

At the Conservative Political Action Conference in Texas on Saturday, previous President Donald Trump dropped another tease that he will soon reveal he is running for president in 2024. “We will make America happy again. We will make America safe once again. And we will make America great again,” he told the CPAC audience.
Don’t question that he will. If anything, dramatic actions versus him by the Justice Department, in this case connected to categorized info Trump allegedly took with him from the White Home, according to an NBC source familiar with what occurred, is just most likely to grease those aspirations further.
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Any fear he has of losing has actually undoubtedly been displaced by a more serious one: doing time. Trump should pine for the Justice Department’s guard from prosecution that the governmental seal affords.
He would practically certainly be out on bail, still running for the presidency and declaring that the decision would be reversed on appeal.
Amongst those arguing Trump won’t run again was Michael Cohen. Cohen’s observation seemed sensible then.
In recent weeks, we’ve witnessed an avalanche of evidence from the House committee investigating the events of Jan. 6 about Trump’s potential criminality leading up to and on that fateful day.
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Any fear he has of losing has actually undoubtedly been displaced by a more severe one: doing time.
And as soon as the presidency is won, are your individuals going to implement the guidelines versus you? As for Cohen’s assertion that Trump would surrender his credibility if he lost a 2nd time, where’s the evidence that his fans would disbelieve his inevitable claim that he really won?
Offered all these aspects, whatever legal jeopardy he might remain in, expect a Trump statement not long after the midterms saying he means to be the very first president to have ever had an election taken and lived to win 4 years later.
Is there a Democrat who can handle Biden? (Alex Samuels, politics press reporter): I don’t think so, Sarah, especially if Trump is the nominee. If Trump announces that he’s running for a second term, I believe: 1) Biden will run again, and 2) there won’t be a damaging main to take him down.
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Bernie Sanders stepping up to the plate and attracting a good share of the vote, but in 2024, I do not believe he ‘d bother, or be successful. More like frenemies., senior elections analyst): That’s a great point, Alex, about Democrats likely not desiring to participate in an unpleasant main.
If Trump looms large, that may motivate higher Democratic unity. Regardless, though, it’s extremely tough to take on an incumbent president in a main no incumbent has actually ever lost renomination in the modern presidential primary era. There have been some primary surveys testing Biden versus a multicandidate field that have him leading but just in the 30s in terms of assistance.
Yeah, and the incumbent presidents who have dealt with severe renomination battles (e. g., former President Jimmy Carter) lost their subsequent basic election. No Democrat will wish to be blamed for tanking Biden’s chances versus Trump. Another problem: I know surveys show that Democrats largely do not want Biden to run once again, however celebration elites aren’t acting that method.
Carolyn Maloney said she didn’t believe Biden would run once again in 2024.!! To me, that’s the indication of a party unified behind their leader.