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If enough of them changed in red states in a close race, it might reject Mr Trump success in the electoral college. Much better would be to depend on the good sense of the American individuals. It is simple to forget that Mr Trump loses elections. In the 4 years of his presidency he lost his celebration both houses of Congress along with the White House.

The reason Mr Trump projects so hard versus the trustworthiness of the ballot box is that he knows the tally box can defeat him.

We will make America safe again. And we will make America terrific again,” he told the CPAC audience.

and we may need to do it again.” Do not question that he will. The FBI raid on Trump’s Mar-a-Lago house in Palm Beach, Florida, on Monday looks like it would put the brakes on the former president’s political aspirations. If anything, significant actions against him by the Justice Department, in this case connected to categorized details Trump presumably took with him from the White House, according to an NBC source familiar with what took place, is only most likely to grease those aspirations even more.

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Any fear he has of losing has actually surely been displaced by a more serious one: doing time. Trump needs to pine for the Justice Department’s guard from prosecution that the governmental seal affords. Trump might think that an indictment might assist his political profile, promoting his longtime campaign style of being an aggrieved martyr.

He would almost undoubtedly be out on bail, still running for the presidency and claiming that the decision would be reversed on appeal.

Among those arguing Trump will not run again was Michael Cohen. Cohen’s observation appeared reasonable then.

In current weeks, we’ve experienced an avalanche of evidence from the Home committee examining the events of Jan. 6 about Trump’s potential criminality leading up to and on that eventful day.

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And in February, the National Archives asked for that the Justice Department look at whether Trump’s handling of White Home records broke federal law. For this reason, any fear he has of losing has actually definitely been displaced by a more serious one: doing time. Trump must pine for the Justice Department’s shield from prosecution that the presidential seal pays for.

And as soon as the presidency is won, are your people going to enforce the rules against you? When it comes to Cohen’s assertion that Trump would surrender his credibility if he lost a 2nd time, where’s the proof that his fans would disbelieve his unavoidable claim that he really won? Isn’t the threat to his moneymaking apparatus higher if he drops the prospect of returning to the White Home? His political importance would be outshone by that of those who pick up the torch, while his name might be in the headings predominantly for his entanglement with the law.

Provided all these aspects, whatever legal jeopardy he may be in, anticipate a Trump announcement right after the midterms saying he intends to be the first president to have ever had actually an election stolen and lived to win four years later.

Is there a Democrat who can take on Biden? (Alex Samuels, politics reporter): I do not believe so, Sarah, particularly if Trump is the nominee. If Trump announces that he’s running for a second term, I think: 1) Biden will run again, and 2) there will not be a harmful main to take him down.

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Bernie Sanders stepping up to the plate and bring in a good share of the vote, however in 2024, I do not believe he ‘d bother, or be successful. More like frenemies., senior elections expert): That’s a great point, Alex, about Democrats likely not wanting to participate in an unpleasant main.

If Trump looms big, that may motivate higher Democratic unity. Regardless, though, it’s extremely tough to take on an incumbent president in a primary no incumbent has ever lost renomination in the contemporary governmental main period. There have been some main surveys evaluating Biden against a multicandidate field that have him leading only in the 30s in terms of assistance.

Yeah, and the incumbent presidents who have dealt with serious renomination fights (e. g., previous President Jimmy Carter) lost their subsequent general election. No Democrat will wish to be blamed for tanking Biden’s chances versus Trump. Another complication: I know polls reveal that Democrats mainly don’t want Biden to run again, but party elites aren’t acting that method.

Carolyn Maloney said she didn’t believe Biden would run again in 2024. Her main challengers leapt all over her, and she had to ask forgiveness!.?.!! To me, that’s the indication of a celebration joined behind their leader. (It’s almost Trump-like!) Yeah, I don’t see anyone running if Biden makes great on his stated objective to run once again.