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If sufficient of them switched in red states in a close race, it could deny Mr Trump victory in the electoral college. It is simple to forget that Mr Trump loses elections.

The factor Mr Trump campaigns so hard against the dependability of the tally box is that he knows the tally box can defeat him.

We will make America safe once again. And we will make America excellent again,” he told the CPAC audience.

Do not question that he will. If anything, significant actions versus him by the Justice Department, in this case connected to classified information Trump apparently took with him from the White House, according to an NBC source familiar with what happened, is only most likely to grease those aspirations even more.

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Any worry he has of losing has actually surely been displaced by a more serious one: doing time. Trump must pine for the Justice Department’s guard from prosecution that the governmental seal affords. Trump may believe that an indictment could help his political profile, promoting his longtime campaign style of being an aggrieved martyr.

He would practically surely be out on bail, still running for the presidency and claiming that the decision would be reversed on appeal.

We overlook them at our peril doing so means losing precious time both advising Americans of the “clear and present risk” to our Constitution that he positions and preparing for how finest to defeat him. First among those arguing Trump won’t run again was Michael Cohen. Trump’s former attorney who knows the man as well as anybody said in November: “His vulnerable ego can not stand to be thought about a two-time loser.” Cohen’s observation seemed sensible then.

In current weeks, we’ve experienced an avalanche of proof from your house committee investigating the events of Jan. 6 about Trump’s prospective criminality leading up to and on that eventful day. Even prior to Monday’s search, we saw news of an accelerating Justice Department examination thinking about whether Trump attempted to overturn the 2020 election.

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Any worry he has of losing has definitely been displaced by a more major one: doing time.

And as soon as the presidency is won, are your individuals going to impose the rules against you? As for Cohen’s assertion that Trump would surrender his credibility if he lost a second time, where’s the proof that his fans would disbelieve his unavoidable claim that he in fact won?

Offered all these elements, whatever legal jeopardy he may be in, expect a Trump announcement not long after the midterms saying he plans to be the first president to have ever had an election stolen and lived to win four years later on.

Exists a Democrat who can handle Biden? (Alex Samuels, politics press reporter): I do not believe so, Sarah, specifically if Trump is the nominee. If Trump reveals that he’s running for a second term, I think: 1) Biden will run again, and 2) there won’t be a damaging primary to take him down.

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Bernie Sanders stepping up to the plate and drawing in a decent share of the vote, however in 2024, I don’t think he ‘d bother, or succeed. Sanders has already stated that he will not run against Biden. (They’re pals!) More like frenemies. Ugh, we need more political relationship stories. (Geoffrey Skelley, senior elections analyst): That’s a great point, Alex, about Democrats likely not wanting to participate in an unpleasant main.

If Trump looms large, that may motivate higher Democratic unity. Regardless, however, it’s really hard to take on an incumbent president in a main no incumbent has actually ever lost renomination in the contemporary governmental primary period. There have been some primary polls checking Biden against a multicandidate field that have him leading but just in the 30s in regards to support.

Yeah, and the incumbent presidents who have dealt with major renomination fights (e. g., former President Jimmy Carter) lost their subsequent basic election. No Democrat will want to be blamed for tanking Biden’s chances versus Trump. Another issue: I understand polls show that Democrats largely don’t want Biden to run once again, however celebration elites aren’t acting that way.

Carolyn Maloney said she didn’t think Biden would run again in 2024. Her primary challengers leapt all over her, and she had to ask forgiveness!.?.!! To me, that’s the sign of a party unified behind their leader. (It’s practically Trump-like!) Yeah, I don’t see anyone running if Biden makes great on his stated intention to run once again.