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If sufficient of them changed in red states in a close race, it could deny Mr Trump triumph in the electoral college. It is easy to forget that Mr Trump loses elections.

The reason Mr Trump projects so hard versus the dependability of the tally box is that he understands the ballot box can beat him.

We will make America safe once again. And we will make America great once again,” he told the CPAC audience.

and we might need to do it again.” Don’t question that he will. The FBI raid on Trump’s Mar-a-Lago house in Palm Beach, Florida, on Monday looks like it would put the brakes on the former president’s political aspirations. However if anything, dramatic actions against him by the Justice Department, in this case connected to classified information Trump apparently took with him from the White House, according to an NBC source familiar with what happened, is only most likely to grease those aspirations further.

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Any fear he has of losing has surely been displaced by a more major one: doing time. Trump needs to pine for the Justice Department’s guard from prosecution that the governmental seal pays for.

He would practically certainly be out on bail, still running for the presidency and declaring that the verdict would be reversed on appeal.

We overlook them at our danger doing so means losing valuable time both reminding Americans of the “clear and present danger” to our Constitution that he presents and preparing for how finest to beat him. Among those arguing Trump will not run once again was Michael Cohen. Trump’s former attorney who understands the guy as well as anyone said in November: “His vulnerable ego can not stand to be considered a two-time loser.” Cohen’s observation appeared sensible then.

In recent weeks, we’ve witnessed an avalanche of evidence from the Home committee examining the occasions of Jan. 6 about Trump’s prospective criminality leading up to and on that fateful day.

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And in February, the National Archives requested that the Justice Department take a look at whether Trump’s handling of White Home records broke federal law. Hence, any worry he has of losing has undoubtedly been displaced by a more serious one: doing time. Trump needs to pine for the Justice Department’s shield from prosecution that the presidential seal affords.

And once the presidency is won, are your people going to enforce the rules versus you? When it comes to Cohen’s assertion that Trump would surrender his reliability if he lost a second time, where’s the evidence that his fans would disbelieve his inescapable claim that he in fact won? Isn’t the danger to his moneymaking apparatus greater if he drops the prospect of returning to the White Home? His political significance would be outshone by that of those who select up the torch, while his name might be in the headings predominantly for his entanglement with the law.

Offered all these elements, whatever legal jeopardy he might remain in, expect a Trump statement quickly after the midterms saying he means to be the first president to have ever had an election taken and lived to win four years later on.

Is there a Democrat who can take on Biden? (Alex Samuels, politics reporter): I do not think so, Sarah, especially if Trump is the nominee. If Trump reveals that he’s running for a second term, I believe: 1) Biden will run once again, and 2) there will not be a destructive primary to take him down.

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Bernie Sanders stepping up to the plate and drawing in a decent share of the vote, but in 2024, I do not think he ‘d bother, or achieve success. Sanders has currently stated that he will not run versus Biden. (They’re pals!) More like frenemies. Ugh, we need more political friendship stories. (Geoffrey Skelley, senior elections expert): That’s a good point, Alex, about Democrats likely not wanting to take part in an untidy primary.

If Trump looms large, that might encourage greater Democratic unity. Regardless, though, it’s really tough to take on an incumbent president in a main no incumbent has actually ever lost renomination in the contemporary presidential primary period.

Yeah, and the incumbent presidents who have actually faced major renomination fights (e. g., former President Jimmy Carter) lost their subsequent general election. No Democrat will desire to be blamed for tanking Biden’s opportunities against Trump. Another issue: I know polls reveal that Democrats largely do not desire Biden to run once again, however party elites aren’t acting that way.

Carolyn Maloney said she didn’t think Biden would run again in 2024. Her main challengers jumped all over her, and she had to ask forgiveness!.?.!! To me, that’s the sign of a party united behind their leader. (It’s nearly Trump-like!) Yeah, I don’t see anyone running if Biden makes good on his stated intent to run again.