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If sufficient of them switched in red states in a close race, it might reject Mr Trump success in the electoral college. It is simple to forget that Mr Trump loses elections.

The reason Mr Trump campaigns so hard versus the reliability of the ballot box is that he understands the tally box can defeat him.

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We will make America safe again. And we will make America fantastic once again,” he told the CPAC audience.

and we might need to do it once again.” Do not question that he will. The FBI raid on Trump’s Mar-a-Lago home in Palm Beach, Florida, on Monday looks like it would put the brakes on the former president’s political aspirations. If anything, significant actions against him by the Justice Department, in this case tied to classified info Trump presumably took with him from the White Home, according to an NBC source familiar with what happened, is just likely to grease those ambitions further.

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Any fear he has of losing has actually surely been displaced by a more serious one: doing time. Trump needs to pine for the Justice Department’s shield from prosecution that the governmental seal manages.

He would almost definitely be out on bail, still running for the presidency and claiming that the decision would be reversed on appeal.

Among those arguing Trump won’t run again was Michael Cohen. Cohen’s observation seemed reasonable then.

In current weeks, we have actually witnessed an avalanche of proof from the Home committee investigating the events of Jan. 6 about Trump’s possible criminality leading up to and on that fateful day.

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And in February, the National Archives asked for that the Justice Department take a look at whether Trump’s handling of White House records broke federal law. For this reason, any worry he has of losing has undoubtedly been displaced by a more severe one: doing time. Trump needs to pine for the Justice Department’s guard from prosecution that the governmental seal affords.

And when the presidency is won, are your individuals going to enforce the rules against you? As for Cohen’s assertion that Trump would surrender his trustworthiness if he lost a 2nd time, where’s the evidence that his fans would disbelieve his unavoidable claim that he in fact won? Indeed, isn’t the risk to his moneymaking apparatus greater if he drops the prospect of returning to the White Home? His political importance would be beat by that of those who get the torch, while his name could be in the headlines predominantly for his entanglement with the law.

Given all these aspects, whatever legal jeopardy he may be in, anticipate a Trump statement not long after the midterms saying he plans to be the very first president to have ever had an election taken and lived to win four years later on.

, politics reporter): I don’t think so, Sarah, specifically if Trump is the candidate. If Trump reveals that he’s running for a 2nd term, I think: 1) Biden will run once again, and 2) there won’t be a destructive primary to take him down.

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Bernie Sanders stepping up to the plate and bring in a good share of the vote, but in 2024, I do not think he ‘d trouble, or be successful. More like frenemies., senior elections expert): That’s a good point, Alex, about Democrats likely not wanting to take part in an unpleasant main.

If Trump looms big, that might encourage higher Democratic unity. Regardless, though, it’s really difficult to take on an incumbent president in a main no incumbent has ever lost renomination in the contemporary governmental primary era.

Yeah, and the incumbent presidents who have dealt with severe renomination fights (e. g., former President Jimmy Carter) lost their subsequent general election. No Democrat will wish to be blamed for tanking Biden’s possibilities versus Trump. Another issue: I understand polls show that Democrats largely don’t desire Biden to run once again, but party elites aren’t acting that method.

Carolyn Maloney said she didn’t believe Biden would run again in 2024.!! To me, that’s the indication of a celebration unified behind their leader.