What Does If Trump Runs Will He Win Do?

If enough of them switched in red states in a close race, it could reject Mr Trump victory in the electoral college. It is easy to forget that Mr Trump loses elections.

The reason Mr Trump projects so hard against the credibility of the tally box is that he knows the ballot box can beat him.

We will make America safe once again. And we will make America excellent once again,” he told the CPAC audience.

Do not doubt that he will. If anything, remarkable actions against him by the Justice Department, in this case tied to classified information Trump apparently took with him from the White Home, according to an NBC source familiar with what occurred, is just likely to grease those ambitions even more.

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Any worry he has of losing has certainly been displaced by a more severe one: doing time. Trump must pine for the Justice Department’s guard from prosecution that the presidential seal affords.

He would nearly surely be out on bail, still running for the presidency and declaring that the verdict would be reversed on appeal.

Amongst those arguing Trump will not run once again was Michael Cohen. Cohen’s observation appeared sensible then.

In current weeks, we have actually experienced an avalanche of proof from your house committee investigating the events of Jan. 6 about Trump’s potential criminality leading up to and on that fateful day. Even before Monday’s search, we saw news of an accelerating Justice Department investigation considering whether Trump tried to overturn the 2020 election.

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And in February, the National Archives requested that the Justice Department look at whether Trump’s handling of White House records broke federal law. Any fear he has of losing has actually definitely been displaced by a more major one: doing time. Trump should pine for the Justice Department’s shield from prosecution that the presidential seal affords.

And once the presidency is won, are your people going to enforce the rules versus you? As for Cohen’s assertion that Trump would surrender his reliability if he lost a second time, where’s the proof that his fans would disbelieve his unavoidable claim that he really won? Indeed, isn’t the danger to his moneymaking apparatus greater if he drops the prospect of going back to the White House? His political significance would be outperformed by that of those who get the torch, while his name might be in the headings primarily for his entanglement with the law.

Given all these aspects, whatever legal jeopardy he might remain in, anticipate a Trump statement right after the midterms stating he means to be the first president to have ever had actually an election taken and lived to win four years later.

Is there a Democrat who can handle Biden? (Alex Samuels, politics reporter): I don’t believe so, Sarah, particularly if Trump is the candidate. If Trump announces that he’s running for a 2nd term, I believe: 1) Biden will run again, and 2) there will not be a destructive main to take him down.

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Bernie Sanders stepping up to the plate and drawing in a good share of the vote, however in 2024, I do not think he ‘d trouble, or be effective. More like frenemies., senior elections expert): That’s an excellent point, Alex, about Democrats likely not wanting to take part in a messy primary.

If Trump looms large, that may encourage higher Democratic unity. Regardless, though, it’s extremely difficult to take on an incumbent president in a primary no incumbent has ever lost renomination in the modern-day presidential primary era.

Yeah, and the incumbent presidents who have actually faced severe renomination battles (e. g., previous President Jimmy Carter) lost their subsequent general election. No Democrat will want to be blamed for tanking Biden’s opportunities versus Trump. Another complication: I know polls show that Democrats mainly don’t desire Biden to run once again, however party elites aren’t acting that method.

Carolyn Maloney said she didn’t believe Biden would run again in 2024.!! To me, that’s the indication of a celebration joined behind their leader.