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If enough of them changed in red states in a close race, it could reject Mr Trump triumph in the electoral college. It is easy to forget that Mr Trump loses elections.
The reason Mr Trump projects so hard versus the reliability of the tally box is that he knows the tally box can defeat him.

We will make America safe once again. And we will make America terrific once again,” he told the CPAC audience.
Don’t doubt that he will. If anything, dramatic actions against him by the Justice Department, in this case tied to classified info Trump allegedly took with him from the White Home, according to an NBC source familiar with what happened, is only likely to grease those ambitions further.
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Any worry he has of losing has actually undoubtedly been displaced by a more severe one: doing time. Trump needs to pine for the Justice Department’s shield from prosecution that the governmental seal affords. Trump might think that an indictment could help his political profile, promoting his longtime campaign style of being an aggrieved martyr.
He would almost certainly be out on bail, still running for the presidency and claiming that the verdict would be reversed on appeal.
We neglect them at our hazard doing so indicates losing valuable time both reminding Americans of the “clear and present threat” to our Constitution that he postures and getting ready for how best to defeat him. Among those arguing Trump won’t run once again was Michael Cohen. Trump’s former attorney who knows the guy as well as anybody said in November: “His vulnerable ego can not stand to be thought about a two-time loser.” Cohen’s observation appeared sensible then.
In current weeks, we’ve seen an avalanche of proof from the House committee examining the events of Jan. 6 about Trump’s potential criminality leading up to and on that fateful day.
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And in February, the National Archives requested that the Justice Department look at whether Trump’s handling of White Home records broke federal law. Hence, any worry he has of losing has actually definitely been displaced by a more severe one: doing time. Trump should crave the Justice Department’s shield from prosecution that the presidential seal manages.
And as soon as the presidency is won, are your individuals going to enforce the rules against you? When it comes to Cohen’s assertion that Trump would surrender his reliability if he lost a second time, where’s the evidence that his fans would disbelieve his inevitable claim that he in fact won? Isn’t the threat to his moneymaking device higher if he drops the possibility of returning to the White House? His political significance would be outshone by that of those who get the torch, while his name might be in the headlines predominantly for his entanglement with the law.
Offered all these factors, whatever legal jeopardy he might be in, anticipate a Trump announcement quickly after the midterms stating he plans to be the first president to have ever had an election taken and lived to win four years later on.
, politics reporter): I do not think so, Sarah, particularly if Trump is the candidate. If Trump announces that he’s running for a second term, I believe: 1) Biden will run again, and 2) there will not be a harmful primary to take him down.
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Bernie Sanders stepping up to the plate and attracting a good share of the vote, but in 2024, I don’t believe he ‘d trouble, or succeed. Sanders has already stated that he will not run versus Biden. (They’re friends!) More like frenemies. Ugh, we need more political friendship stories. (Geoffrey Skelley, senior elections analyst): That’s an asset, Alex, about Democrats likely not wishing to participate in a messy main.
If Trump looms big, that might motivate greater Democratic unity. Regardless, however, it’s extremely tough to take on an incumbent president in a primary no incumbent has ever lost renomination in the modern presidential primary era. There have been some main surveys evaluating Biden versus a multicandidate field that have him leading however only in the 30s in regards to support.
Yeah, and the incumbent presidents who have actually dealt with serious renomination battles (e. g., previous President Jimmy Carter) lost their subsequent basic election. No Democrat will wish to be blamed for tanking Biden’s opportunities versus Trump. Another problem: I understand surveys reveal that Democrats largely don’t want Biden to run again, but party elites aren’t acting that method.
Carolyn Maloney stated she didn’t believe Biden would run again in 2024.!! To me, that’s the sign of a party unified behind their leader.