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If sufficient of them changed in red states in a close race, it might deny Mr Trump triumph in the electoral college. It is simple to forget that Mr Trump loses elections.

The reason Mr Trump campaigns so hard against the reliability of the ballot box is that he understands the tally box can beat him.

At the Conservative Political Action Conference in Texas on Saturday, former President Donald Trump dropped another tease that he will soon reveal he is running for president in 2024. “We will make America happy again. We will make America safe once again. And we will make America fantastic again,” he told the CPAC audience.

and we might have to do it again.” Don’t question that he will. The FBI raid on Trump’s Mar-a-Lago house in Palm Beach, Florida, on Monday looks like it would put the brakes on the former president’s political aspirations. But if anything, remarkable actions against him by the Justice Department, in this case tied to classified info Trump allegedly took with him from the White House, according to an NBC source knowledgeable about what took place, is only most likely to grease those aspirations further.

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Any fear he has of losing has actually certainly been displaced by a more major one: doing time. Trump needs to pine for the Justice Department’s shield from prosecution that the presidential seal manages.

He would nearly undoubtedly be out on bail, still running for the presidency and claiming that the decision would be reversed on appeal.

Among those arguing Trump won’t run again was Michael Cohen. Cohen’s observation seemed reasonable then.

In recent weeks, we have actually experienced an avalanche of proof from the House committee examining the occasions of Jan. 6 about Trump’s possible criminality leading up to and on that eventful day. Even prior to Monday’s search, we saw news of an accelerating Justice Department examination considering whether Trump tried to reverse the 2020 election.

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Any worry he has of losing has actually surely been displaced by a more severe one: doing time.

And when the presidency is won, are your people going to enforce the guidelines versus you? As for Cohen’s assertion that Trump would surrender his credibility if he lost a 2nd time, where’s the evidence that his fans would disbelieve his inevitable claim that he in fact won?

Given all these factors, whatever legal jeopardy he might remain in, anticipate a Trump statement right after the midterms stating he intends to be the first president to have ever had an election stolen and lived to win four years later.

, politics reporter): I don’t think so, Sarah, especially if Trump is the nominee. If Trump reveals that he’s running for a 2nd term, I think: 1) Biden will run once again, and 2) there won’t be a destructive main to take him down.

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Bernie Sanders stepping up to the plate and attracting a good share of the vote, however in 2024, I don’t think he ‘d bother, or be successful. More like frenemies., senior elections expert): That’s a good point, Alex, about Democrats likely not wanting to take part in a messy main.

If Trump looms large, that might encourage higher Democratic unity. Regardless, though, it’s really tough to take on an incumbent president in a primary no incumbent has actually ever lost renomination in the modern presidential primary age.

Yeah, and the incumbent presidents who have actually faced serious renomination fights (e. g., former President Jimmy Carter) lost their subsequent basic election. No Democrat will desire to be blamed for tanking Biden’s opportunities versus Trump. Another complication: I know polls reveal that Democrats mainly don’t desire Biden to run once again, however party elites aren’t acting that method.

Carolyn Maloney stated she didn’t believe Biden would run once again in 2024. Her main challengers jumped all over her, and she needed to ask forgiveness!.?.!! To me, that’s the indication of a party joined behind their leader. (It’s almost Trump-like!) Yeah, I don’t see anybody running if Biden makes great on his stated intent to run once again.