Could Trump Win 2024

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If sufficient of them changed in red states in a close race, it could reject Mr Trump triumph in the electoral college. It is simple to forget that Mr Trump loses elections.

The factor Mr Trump campaigns so hard versus the dependability of the ballot box is that he understands the ballot box can defeat him.

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We will make America safe again. And we will make America great again,” he told the CPAC audience.

Don’t doubt that he will. If anything, significant actions against him by the Justice Department, in this case connected to categorized information Trump presumably took with him from the White House, according to an NBC source familiar with what took place, is just likely to grease those ambitions even more.

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Any worry he has of losing has actually certainly been displaced by a more major one: doing time. Trump must pine for the Justice Department’s shield from prosecution that the presidential seal pays for.

He would almost definitely be out on bail, still running for the presidency and declaring that the decision would be reversed on appeal.

Among those arguing Trump will not run again was Michael Cohen. Cohen’s observation seemed practical then.

In recent weeks, we have actually witnessed an avalanche of proof from the House committee investigating the events of Jan. 6 about Trump’s prospective criminality leading up to and on that fateful day.

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And in February, the National Archives requested that the Justice Department take a look at whether Trump’s handling of White Home records broke federal law. Any fear he has of losing has actually definitely been displaced by a more serious one: doing time. Trump must crave the Justice Department’s shield from prosecution that the presidential seal affords.

And as soon as the presidency is won, are your people going to implement the rules versus you? As for Cohen’s assertion that Trump would surrender his credibility if he lost a second time, where’s the evidence that his fans would disbelieve his inevitable claim that he really won?

Given all these elements, whatever legal jeopardy he may remain in, anticipate a Trump announcement not long after the midterms saying he means to be the first president to have ever had an election stolen and lived to win four years later.

Exists a Democrat who can take on Biden? (Alex Samuels, politics reporter): I do not think so, Sarah, especially if Trump is the candidate. If Trump announces that he’s running for a second term, I believe: 1) Biden will run once again, and 2) there won’t be a destructive primary to take him down.

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Bernie Sanders stepping up to the plate and drawing in a good share of the vote, but in 2024, I do not believe he ‘d trouble, or achieve success. Sanders has actually currently stated that he will not run versus Biden. (They’re pals!) More like frenemies. Ugh, we need more political friendship stories. (Geoffrey Skelley, senior elections analyst): That’s an asset, Alex, about Democrats likely not wishing to take part in an untidy primary.

If Trump looms large, that might motivate higher Democratic unity. Regardless, though, it’s very difficult to take on an incumbent president in a primary no incumbent has ever lost renomination in the modern presidential main period. There have been some primary polls testing Biden against a multicandidate field that have him leading just in the 30s in regards to support.

Yeah, and the incumbent presidents who have actually dealt with major renomination battles (e. g., previous President Jimmy Carter) lost their subsequent general election. No Democrat will wish to be blamed for tanking Biden’s opportunities versus Trump. Another problem: I know polls show that Democrats largely do not desire Biden to run again, but celebration elites aren’t acting that method.

Carolyn Maloney said she didn’t think Biden would run again in 2024.!! To me, that’s the indication of a celebration joined behind their leader.