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If enough of them changed in red states in a close race, it might deny Mr Trump victory in the electoral college. Much better would be to depend on the good sense of the American individuals. It is easy to forget that Mr Trump loses elections. In the four years of his presidency he lost his party both homes of Congress as well as the White House.

The reason Mr Trump campaigns so hard against the reliability of the ballot box is that he understands the ballot box can beat him.

At the Conservative Political Action Conference in Texas on Saturday, former President Donald Trump dropped another tease that he will quickly announce he is running for president in 2024. “We will make America proud again. We will make America safe again. And we will make America fantastic again,” he told the CPAC audience.

Do not question that he will. If anything, dramatic actions versus him by the Justice Department, in this case tied to categorized details Trump apparently took with him from the White House, according to an NBC source familiar with what took place, is just most likely to grease those aspirations even more.

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Any worry he has of losing has actually surely been displaced by a more major one: doing time. Trump should pine for the Justice Department’s shield from prosecution that the governmental seal affords.

He would almost definitely be out on bail, still running for the presidency and claiming that the verdict would be reversed on appeal.

We overlook them at our peril doing so implies losing precious time both reminding Americans of the “clear and present threat” to our Constitution that he postures and preparing for how best to beat him. Among those arguing Trump will not run again was Michael Cohen. Trump’s former legal representative who knows the guy in addition to anyone said in November: “His fragile ego can not stand to be considered a two-time loser.” Cohen’s observation seemed sensible then.

In current weeks, we have actually seen an avalanche of proof from the House committee examining the occasions of Jan. 6 about Trump’s possible criminality leading up to and on that fateful day.

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And in February, the National Archives asked for that the Justice Department take a look at whether Trump’s handling of White Home records broke federal law. Thus, any fear he has of losing has definitely been displaced by a more major one: doing time. Trump needs to crave the Justice Department’s guard from prosecution that the governmental seal affords.

And when the presidency is won, are your individuals going to enforce the guidelines versus you? As for Cohen’s assertion that Trump would surrender his trustworthiness if he lost a 2nd time, where’s the evidence that his fans would disbelieve his inevitable claim that he really won?

Given all these factors, whatever legal jeopardy he may be in, expect a Trump announcement soon after the midterms stating he means to be the first president to have ever had actually an election stolen and lived to win 4 years later.

Is there a Democrat who can take on Biden? (Alex Samuels, politics reporter): I do not believe so, Sarah, especially if Trump is the candidate. If Trump announces that he’s running for a second term, I believe: 1) Biden will run once again, and 2) there will not be a destructive primary to take him down.

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Bernie Sanders stepping up to the plate and bring in a good share of the vote, but in 2024, I do not believe he ‘d trouble, or be successful. Sanders has actually already stated that he will not run against Biden. (They’re pals!) More like frenemies. Ugh, we require more political friendship stories. (Geoffrey Skelley, senior elections analyst): That’s a great point, Alex, about Democrats likely not wishing to take part in a messy main.

If Trump looms big, that might motivate greater Democratic unity. Regardless, though, it’s very tough to take on an incumbent president in a primary no incumbent has actually ever lost renomination in the modern-day presidential main era.

Yeah, and the incumbent presidents who have actually faced severe renomination fights (e. g., former President Jimmy Carter) lost their subsequent basic election. No Democrat will want to be blamed for tanking Biden’s opportunities versus Trump. Another issue: I know surveys show that Democrats mainly do not want Biden to run once again, however party elites aren’t acting that way.

Carolyn Maloney said she didn’t think Biden would run again in 2024. Her main challengers jumped all over her, and she had to apologize!.?.!! To me, that’s the sign of a party united behind their leader. (It’s almost Trump-like!) Yeah, I don’t see anybody running if Biden makes excellent on his stated objective to run once again.