Can Trump Win

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If enough of them changed in red states in a close race, it could deny Mr Trump success in the electoral college. Much better would be to depend upon the common sense of the American people. It is easy to forget that Mr Trump loses elections. In the four years of his presidency he lost his celebration both homes of Congress along with the White Home.

The factor Mr Trump projects so hard against the dependability of the tally box is that he understands the ballot box can defeat him.

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At the Conservative Political Action Conference in Texas on Saturday, previous President Donald Trump dropped another tease that he will quickly reveal he is running for president in 2024. “We will make America proud once again. We will make America safe again. And we will make America terrific again,” he told the CPAC audience.

and we might have to do it once again.” Don’t doubt that he will. The FBI raid on Trump’s Mar-a-Lago home in Palm Beach, Florida, on Monday seems like it would put the brakes on the previous president’s political aspirations. If anything, remarkable actions versus him by the Justice Department, in this case connected to classified details Trump allegedly took with him from the White House, according to an NBC source familiar with what happened, is only likely to grease those ambitions even more.

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Any worry he has of losing has undoubtedly been displaced by a more serious one: doing time. Trump needs to crave the Justice Department’s shield from prosecution that the governmental seal affords. Trump might think that an indictment might assist his political profile, promoting his longtime project style of being an aggrieved martyr.

He would almost undoubtedly be out on bail, still running for the presidency and declaring that the verdict would be reversed on appeal.

Among those arguing Trump won’t run again was Michael Cohen. Cohen’s observation appeared sensible then.

In current weeks, we have actually witnessed an avalanche of evidence from your house committee examining the events of Jan. 6 about Trump’s possible criminality leading up to and on that eventful day. Even before Monday’s search, we saw news of an accelerating Justice Department examination considering whether Trump tried to overturn the 2020 election.

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Any worry he has of losing has actually surely been displaced by a more major one: doing time.

And when the presidency is won, are your individuals going to enforce the rules versus you? As for Cohen’s assertion that Trump would surrender his reliability if he lost a 2nd time, where’s the proof that his fans would disbelieve his inevitable claim that he really won? Indeed, isn’t the threat to his moneymaking device greater if he drops the prospect of going back to the White House? His political significance would be beat by that of those who pick up the torch, while his name could be in the headlines primarily for his entanglement with the law.

Given all these elements, whatever legal jeopardy he might be in, anticipate a Trump statement right after the midterms saying he means to be the first president to have ever had an election stolen and lived to win four years later on.

, politics reporter): I don’t think so, Sarah, specifically if Trump is the nominee. If Trump announces that he’s running for a 2nd term, I believe: 1) Biden will run again, and 2) there will not be a harmful primary to take him down.

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Bernie Sanders stepping up to the plate and bring in a good share of the vote, however in 2024, I don’t think he ‘d bother, or be successful. More like frenemies., senior elections analyst): That’s an excellent point, Alex, about Democrats likely not wanting to take part in an unpleasant primary.

If Trump looms big, that might encourage greater Democratic unity. Regardless, however, it’s extremely hard to take on an incumbent president in a primary no incumbent has ever lost renomination in the modern-day governmental primary period.

Yeah, and the incumbent presidents who have dealt with severe renomination battles (e. g., former President Jimmy Carter) lost their subsequent general election. No Democrat will desire to be blamed for tanking Biden’s possibilities against Trump. Another complication: I know surveys show that Democrats largely don’t desire Biden to run once again, but party elites aren’t acting that method.

Carolyn Maloney stated she didn’t think Biden would run again in 2024. Her primary challengers jumped all over her, and she had to ask forgiveness!.?.!! To me, that’s the sign of a party joined behind their leader. (It’s nearly Trump-like!) Yeah, I do not see anybody running if Biden makes great on his stated intent to run once again.

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If sufficient of them switched in red states in a close race, it might deny Mr Trump success in the electoral college. Better would be to depend on the excellent sense of the American individuals. It is easy to forget that Mr Trump loses elections. In the four years of his presidency he lost his party both homes of Congress along with the White House.

The factor Mr Trump projects so hard against the trustworthiness of the ballot box is that he knows the ballot box can defeat him.

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At the Conservative Political Action Conference in Texas on Saturday, previous President Donald Trump dropped another tease that he will soon reveal he is running for president in 2024. “We will make America proud once again. We will make America safe once again. And we will make America fantastic again,” he informed the CPAC audience.

and we might have to do it again.” Do not doubt that he will. The FBI raid on Trump’s Mar-a-Lago home in Palm Beach, Florida, on Monday seems like it would put the brakes on the previous president’s political ambitions. However if anything, significant actions against him by the Justice Department, in this case connected to categorized details Trump presumably took with him from the White Home, according to an NBC source familiar with what happened, is only likely to grease those ambitions further.

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Any fear he has of losing has certainly been displaced by a more serious one: doing time. Trump should crave the Justice Department’s shield from prosecution that the presidential seal pays for. Trump may believe that an indictment might assist his political profile, promoting his longtime project style of being an aggrieved martyr.

He would almost certainly be out on bail, still running for the presidency and declaring that the decision would be reversed on appeal.

We overlook them at our hazard doing so suggests losing precious time both reminding Americans of the “clear and present danger” to our Constitution that he presents and getting ready for how best to beat him. First among those arguing Trump won’t run again was Michael Cohen. Trump’s previous attorney who knows the guy in addition to anybody stated in November: “His fragile ego can not stand to be considered a two-time loser.” Cohen’s observation appeared practical then.

In recent weeks, we’ve witnessed an avalanche of proof from the Home committee investigating the events of Jan. 6 about Trump’s possible criminality leading up to and on that eventful day.

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And in February, the National Archives requested that the Justice Department take a look at whether Trump’s handling of White House records broke federal law. Any worry he has of losing has certainly been displaced by a more major one: doing time. Trump must pine for the Justice Department’s guard from prosecution that the governmental seal manages.

And when the presidency is won, are your people going to implement the guidelines versus you? As for Cohen’s assertion that Trump would surrender his credibility if he lost a second time, where’s the evidence that his fans would disbelieve his inescapable claim that he actually won? Isn’t the risk to his moneymaking apparatus greater if he drops the prospect of returning to the White Home? His political significance would be outshone by that of those who choose up the torch, while his name might be in the headings predominantly for his entanglement with the law.

Offered all these aspects, whatever legal jeopardy he may remain in, anticipate a Trump announcement right after the midterms stating he plans to be the very first president to have ever had actually an election stolen and lived to win four years later.

Exists a Democrat who can handle Biden? (Alex Samuels, politics reporter): I don’t think so, Sarah, particularly if Trump is the nominee. If Trump announces that he’s running for a 2nd term, I believe: 1) Biden will run again, and 2) there will not be a harmful main to take him down.

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Bernie Sanders stepping up to the plate and bring in a decent share of the vote, however in 2024, I do not believe he ‘d trouble, or achieve success. Sanders has actually already stated that he will not run against Biden. (They’re good friends!) More like frenemies. Ugh, we require more political relationship stories. (Geoffrey Skelley, senior elections expert): That’s an asset, Alex, about Democrats likely not wishing to participate in an untidy main.

If Trump looms big, that might encourage greater Democratic unity. Regardless, however, it’s really tough to take on an incumbent president in a primary no incumbent has ever lost renomination in the modern-day governmental primary period. There have been some primary polls checking Biden versus a multicandidate field that have him leading but only in the 30s in terms of support.

Yeah, and the incumbent presidents who have dealt with serious renomination battles (e. g., former President Jimmy Carter) lost their subsequent basic election. No Democrat will wish to be blamed for tanking Biden’s possibilities against Trump. Another issue: I understand surveys show that Democrats largely do not want Biden to run once again, but party elites aren’t acting that method.

Carolyn Maloney stated she didn’t believe Biden would run again in 2024.!! To me, that’s the indication of a celebration unified behind their leader.