Can Trump Still Win Election

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If enough of them switched in red states in a close race, it could deny Mr Trump victory in the electoral college. Much better would be to depend on the good sense of the American people. It is easy to forget that Mr Trump loses elections. In the four years of his presidency he lost his party both homes of Congress as well as the White House.

The factor Mr Trump campaigns so hard versus the credibility of the tally box is that he knows the ballot box can defeat him.

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We will make America safe once again. And we will make America great again,” he told the CPAC audience.

and we may have to do it again.” Don’t doubt that he will. The FBI raid on Trump’s Mar-a-Lago home in Palm Beach, Florida, on Monday appears like it would put the brakes on the former president’s political ambitions. But if anything, remarkable actions versus him by the Justice Department, in this case tied to categorized info Trump allegedly took with him from the White Home, according to an NBC source acquainted with what took place, is just likely to grease those ambitions further.

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Any worry he has of losing has surely been displaced by a more severe one: doing time. Trump needs to pine for the Justice Department’s guard from prosecution that the governmental seal affords. Trump may think that an indictment could help his political profile, promoting his longtime campaign theme of being an aggrieved martyr.

Even if Trump were convicted prior to the 2024 election, it would not likely be much prior to. He would practically definitely be out on bail, still running for the presidency and declaring that the decision would be reversed on appeal. As of late July, Trump stayed the leading option for the Republican governmental nomination, with about 50% assistance, according to the Real, Clear, Politics poll average and nearly every private survey that reveals him with huge double-digit leads over his closest competitor.

Amongst those arguing Trump will not run again was Michael Cohen. Cohen’s observation seemed reasonable then.

In recent weeks, we’ve experienced an avalanche of proof from your house committee investigating the occasions of Jan. 6 about Trump’s prospective criminality leading up to and on that fateful day. Even prior to Monday’s search, we saw news of a speeding up Justice Department examination considering whether Trump tried to overturn the 2020 election.

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And in February, the National Archives asked for that the Justice Department look at whether Trump’s handling of White House records broke federal law. For this reason, any worry he has of losing has certainly been displaced by a more severe one: doing time. Trump should pine for the Justice Department’s shield from prosecution that the governmental seal affords.

And as soon as the presidency is won, are your individuals going to enforce the guidelines versus you? As for Cohen’s assertion that Trump would surrender his trustworthiness if he lost a 2nd time, where’s the proof that his fans would disbelieve his inevitable claim that he really won?

Provided all these elements, whatever legal jeopardy he might remain in, anticipate a Trump statement right after the midterms stating he intends to be the very first president to have ever had actually an election taken and lived to win four years later on.

, politics reporter): I don’t think so, Sarah, particularly if Trump is the nominee. If Trump reveals that he’s running for a second term, I believe: 1) Biden will run again, and 2) there will not be a damaging main to take him down.

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Bernie Sanders stepping up to the plate and bring in a decent share of the vote, however in 2024, I do not believe he ‘d trouble, or be successful. More like frenemies., senior elections expert): That’s a good point, Alex, about Democrats likely not wanting to take part in an untidy primary.

If Trump looms large, that might encourage greater Democratic unity. Regardless, however, it’s very hard to take on an incumbent president in a primary no incumbent has ever lost renomination in the modern-day presidential primary era.

Yeah, and the incumbent presidents who have actually faced serious renomination battles (e. g., former President Jimmy Carter) lost their subsequent basic election. No Democrat will desire to be blamed for tanking Biden’s possibilities against Trump. Another complication: I know surveys show that Democrats mainly do not want Biden to run once again, but celebration elites aren’t acting that method.

Carolyn Maloney said she didn’t think Biden would run again in 2024.!! To me, that’s the indication of a party joined behind their leader.