About Is Trump The Answer

If sufficient of them switched in red states in a close race, it might reject Mr Trump success in the electoral college. It is easy to forget that Mr Trump loses elections.

The reason Mr Trump campaigns so hard versus the reliability of the ballot box is that he knows the ballot box can defeat him.

At the Conservative Political Action Conference in Texas on Saturday, previous President Donald Trump dropped another tease that he will soon reveal he is running for president in 2024. “We will make America happy once again. We will make America safe again. And we will make America great once again,” he informed the CPAC audience.

and we might need to do it again.” Do not question that he will. The FBI raid on Trump’s Mar-a-Lago house in Palm Beach, Florida, on Monday looks like it would put the brakes on the former president’s political aspirations. But if anything, dramatic actions versus him by the Justice Department, in this case tied to classified info Trump presumably took with him from the White Home, according to an NBC source familiar with what happened, is just likely to grease those aspirations even more.

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Any worry he has of losing has actually surely been displaced by a more severe one: doing time. Trump must pine for the Justice Department’s guard from prosecution that the governmental seal manages.

Even if Trump were convicted before the 2024 election, it wouldn’t likely be much prior to. He would almost surely be out on bail, still running for the presidency and claiming that the verdict would be reversed on appeal. Since late July, Trump stayed the leading option for the Republican presidential election, with about 50% support, according to the Real, Clear, Politics survey average and practically every individual poll that reveals him with enormous double-digit leads over his closest competitor.

Among those arguing Trump won’t run once again was Michael Cohen. Cohen’s observation seemed sensible then.

In current weeks, we’ve seen an avalanche of proof from the Home committee investigating the events of Jan. 6 about Trump’s potential criminality leading up to and on that eventful day. Even prior to Monday’s search, we saw news of a speeding up Justice Department investigation considering whether Trump attempted to reverse the 2020 election.

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And in February, the National Archives asked for that the Justice Department take a look at whether Trump’s handling of White Home records broke federal law. Any fear he has of losing has actually undoubtedly been displaced by a more major one: doing time. Trump must crave the Justice Department’s guard from prosecution that the presidential seal affords.

And once the presidency is won, are your people going to impose the rules versus you? As for Cohen’s assertion that Trump would surrender his credibility if he lost a 2nd time, where’s the evidence that his fans would disbelieve his unavoidable claim that he in fact won? Undoubtedly, isn’t the danger to his moneymaking device higher if he drops the prospect of returning to the White Home? His political importance would be outperformed by that of those who get the torch, while his name could be in the headlines mainly for his entanglement with the law.

Offered all these factors, whatever legal jeopardy he might remain in, expect a Trump announcement right after the midterms saying he means to be the first president to have ever had actually an election stolen and lived to win 4 years later on.

Is there a Democrat who can take on Biden? (Alex Samuels, politics press reporter): I don’t believe so, Sarah, particularly if Trump is the nominee. If Trump reveals that he’s running for a 2nd term, I think: 1) Biden will run again, and 2) there won’t be a destructive primary to take him down.

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Bernie Sanders stepping up to the plate and attracting a good share of the vote, but in 2024, I do not think he ‘d trouble, or be effective. Sanders has already said that he will not run against Biden. (They’re pals!) More like frenemies. Ugh, we require more political relationship stories. (Geoffrey Skelley, senior elections analyst): That’s an asset, Alex, about Democrats likely not wishing to take part in a messy main.

If Trump looms large, that may motivate higher Democratic unity. Regardless, however, it’s extremely hard to take on an incumbent president in a main no incumbent has ever lost renomination in the contemporary governmental main period. There have been some primary surveys checking Biden versus a multicandidate field that have him leading however only in the 30s in terms of support.

Yeah, and the incumbent presidents who have faced serious renomination battles (e. g., former President Jimmy Carter) lost their subsequent basic election. No Democrat will wish to be blamed for tanking Biden’s chances against Trump. Another complication: I understand surveys reveal that Democrats mostly do not desire Biden to run once again, but party elites aren’t acting that way.

Carolyn Maloney said she didn’t believe Biden would run again in 2024. Her primary opponents leapt all over her, and she needed to apologize!.?.!! To me, that’s the indication of a party unified behind their leader. (It’s almost Trump-like!) Yeah, I do not see anybody running if Biden makes great on his stated objective to run once again.