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If sufficient of them switched in red states in a close race, it might deny Mr Trump success in the electoral college. It is easy to forget that Mr Trump loses elections.

The factor Mr Trump campaigns so hard against the dependability of the tally box is that he understands the tally box can defeat him.

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We will make America safe again. And we will make America terrific again,” he informed the CPAC audience.

and we might need to do it once again.” Don’t question that he will. The FBI raid on Trump’s Mar-a-Lago home in Palm Beach, Florida, on Monday looks like it would put the brakes on the previous president’s political aspirations. If anything, remarkable actions against him by the Justice Department, in this case tied to classified details Trump supposedly took with him from the White House, according to an NBC source familiar with what happened, is just most likely to grease those aspirations further.

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Any worry he has of losing has surely been displaced by a more severe one: doing time. Trump must pine for the Justice Department’s shield from prosecution that the governmental seal affords.

He would nearly certainly be out on bail, still running for the presidency and claiming that the decision would be reversed on appeal.

Among those arguing Trump will not run once again was Michael Cohen. Cohen’s observation appeared practical then.

In recent weeks, we’ve experienced an avalanche of proof from your house committee examining the occasions of Jan. 6 about Trump’s possible criminality leading up to and on that eventful day. Even before Monday’s search, we saw news of an accelerating Justice Department investigation thinking about whether Trump tried to reverse the 2020 election.

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And in February, the National Archives asked for that the Justice Department take a look at whether Trump’s handling of White Home records broke federal law. Any worry he has of losing has actually surely been displaced by a more severe one: doing time. Trump needs to crave the Justice Department’s guard from prosecution that the presidential seal pays for.

And when the presidency is won, are your individuals going to enforce the rules versus you? When it comes to Cohen’s assertion that Trump would surrender his credibility if he lost a second time, where’s the evidence that his fans would disbelieve his inevitable claim that he actually won? Certainly, isn’t the threat to his moneymaking device higher if he drops the possibility of returning to the White House? His political importance would be beat by that of those who get the torch, while his name might be in the headlines predominantly for his entanglement with the law.

Given all these aspects, whatever legal jeopardy he may be in, expect a Trump statement soon after the midterms stating he intends to be the first president to have ever had actually an election taken and lived to win four years later.

, politics press reporter): I don’t believe so, Sarah, especially if Trump is the nominee. If Trump announces that he’s running for a second term, I think: 1) Biden will run again, and 2) there won’t be a harmful main to take him down.

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Bernie Sanders stepping up to the plate and bring in a decent share of the vote, however in 2024, I do not believe he ‘d bother, or succeed. Sanders has already said that he will not run versus Biden. (They’re pals!) More like frenemies. Ugh, we require more political friendship stories. (Geoffrey Skelley, senior elections analyst): That’s an excellent point, Alex, about Democrats likely not wishing to take part in a messy primary.

If Trump looms big, that may encourage greater Democratic unity. Regardless, however, it’s really tough to take on an incumbent president in a main no incumbent has ever lost renomination in the modern-day governmental primary period. There have been some primary polls checking Biden against a multicandidate field that have him leading only in the 30s in terms of support.

Yeah, and the incumbent presidents who have dealt with severe renomination battles (e. g., former President Jimmy Carter) lost their subsequent basic election. No Democrat will desire to be blamed for tanking Biden’s opportunities versus Trump. Another problem: I know surveys show that Democrats mainly do not want Biden to run once again, but celebration elites aren’t acting that method.

Carolyn Maloney said she didn’t think Biden would run once again in 2024. Her main opponents leapt all over her, and she had to say sorry!.?.!! To me, that’s the indication of a celebration joined behind their leader. (It’s practically Trump-like!) Yeah, I don’t see anyone running if Biden makes great on his stated intent to run once again.