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If sufficient of them changed in red states in a close race, it could reject Mr Trump success in the electoral college. It is simple to forget that Mr Trump loses elections.

The reason Mr Trump campaigns so hard versus the trustworthiness of the ballot box is that he knows the ballot box can defeat him.

At the Conservative Political Action Conference in Texas on Saturday, former President Donald Trump dropped another tease that he will quickly announce he is running for president in 2024. “We will make America proud once again. We will make America safe once again. And we will make America fantastic once again,” he informed the CPAC audience.

and we might need to do it again.” Do not doubt that he will. The FBI raid on Trump’s Mar-a-Lago house in Palm Beach, Florida, on Monday looks like it would put the brakes on the previous president’s political aspirations. If anything, significant actions versus him by the Justice Department, in this case tied to classified information Trump supposedly took with him from the White House, according to an NBC source familiar with what took place, is only likely to grease those ambitions even more.

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Any fear he has of losing has certainly been displaced by a more severe one: doing time. Trump should crave the Justice Department’s guard from prosecution that the presidential seal affords. Trump might think that an indictment might help his political profile, promoting his longtime project style of being an aggrieved martyr.

Even if Trump were convicted before the 2024 election, it would not likely be much prior to. He would almost definitely be out on bail, still running for the presidency and claiming that the decision would be reversed on appeal. As of late July, Trump stayed the leading choice for the Republican presidential election, with about 50% support, according to the Real, Clear, Politics poll average and practically every private poll that reveals him with huge double-digit leads over his closest competitor.

We disregard them at our hazard doing so means losing valuable time both advising Americans of the “clear and present threat” to our Constitution that he presents and preparing for how best to beat him. First amongst those arguing Trump will not run again was Michael Cohen. Trump’s previous legal representative who knows the male as well as anyone stated in November: “His fragile ego can not stand to be considered a two-time loser.” Cohen’s observation appeared reasonable then.

In recent weeks, we’ve seen an avalanche of evidence from the Home committee examining the occasions of Jan. 6 about Trump’s potential criminality leading up to and on that fateful day. Even before Monday’s search, we saw news of a speeding up Justice Department investigation thinking about whether Trump tried to reverse the 2020 election.

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Any worry he has of losing has definitely been displaced by a more major one: doing time.

And once the presidency is won, are your people going to implement the rules versus you? As for Cohen’s assertion that Trump would surrender his credibility if he lost a 2nd time, where’s the evidence that his fans would disbelieve his unavoidable claim that he in fact won?

Given all these factors, whatever legal jeopardy he might be in, anticipate a Trump statement not long after the midterms stating he plans to be the first president to have ever had actually an election stolen and lived to win 4 years later.

, politics reporter): I don’t think so, Sarah, particularly if Trump is the nominee. If Trump reveals that he’s running for a second term, I think: 1) Biden will run again, and 2) there will not be a destructive main to take him down.

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Bernie Sanders stepping up to the plate and attracting a decent share of the vote, but in 2024, I do not think he ‘d trouble, or be successful. More like frenemies., senior elections expert): That’s a great point, Alex, about Democrats likely not desiring to participate in a messy main.

If Trump looms big, that may motivate higher Democratic unity. Regardless, though, it’s extremely difficult to take on an incumbent president in a primary no incumbent has actually ever lost renomination in the modern-day governmental primary period.

Yeah, and the incumbent presidents who have actually dealt with severe renomination fights (e. g., former President Jimmy Carter) lost their subsequent basic election. No Democrat will wish to be blamed for tanking Biden’s chances versus Trump. Another problem: I understand polls reveal that Democrats mainly do not want Biden to run once again, but celebration elites aren’t acting that method.

Carolyn Maloney stated she didn’t think Biden would run again in 2024.!! To me, that’s the indication of a party united behind their leader.