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If sufficient of them changed in red states in a close race, it might deny Mr Trump victory in the electoral college. It is simple to forget that Mr Trump loses elections.

The factor Mr Trump campaigns so hard versus the dependability of the ballot box is that he understands the ballot box can defeat him.

We will make America safe once again. And we will make America excellent again,” he told the CPAC audience.

and we may need to do it again.” Do not question that he will. The FBI raid on Trump’s Mar-a-Lago home in Palm Beach, Florida, on Monday appears like it would put the brakes on the former president’s political aspirations. But if anything, dramatic actions versus him by the Justice Department, in this case connected to categorized information Trump apparently took with him from the White House, according to an NBC source familiar with what happened, is only most likely to grease those ambitions even more.

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Any fear he has of losing has actually surely been displaced by a more major one: doing time. Trump should pine for the Justice Department’s guard from prosecution that the presidential seal affords. Trump may believe that an indictment might help his political profile, promoting his longtime project style of being an aggrieved martyr.

He would nearly certainly be out on bail, still running for the presidency and declaring that the verdict would be reversed on appeal.

We neglect them at our peril doing so implies losing valuable time both advising Americans of the “clear and present danger” to our Constitution that he positions and getting ready for how best to beat him. First amongst those arguing Trump won’t run again was Michael Cohen. Trump’s previous lawyer who understands the man in addition to anyone said in November: “His fragile ego can not stand to be considered a two-time loser.” Cohen’s observation appeared sensible then.

In current weeks, we have actually seen an avalanche of proof from the Home committee examining the occasions of Jan. 6 about Trump’s prospective criminality leading up to and on that eventful day.

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Any worry he has of losing has certainly been displaced by a more severe one: doing time.

And once the presidency is won, are your people going to implement the rules versus you? When it comes to Cohen’s assertion that Trump would surrender his credibility if he lost a second time, where’s the evidence that his fans would disbelieve his inescapable claim that he actually won? Isn’t the threat to his moneymaking apparatus higher if he drops the prospect of returning to the White House? His political relevance would be outperformed by that of those who get the torch, while his name might be in the headlines predominantly for his entanglement with the law.

Offered all these aspects, whatever legal jeopardy he might be in, expect a Trump announcement right after the midterms stating he plans to be the very first president to have ever had an election stolen and lived to win 4 years later on.

Is there a Democrat who can take on Biden? (Alex Samuels, politics reporter): I don’t think so, Sarah, particularly if Trump is the nominee. If Trump announces that he’s running for a second term, I believe: 1) Biden will run once again, and 2) there won’t be a destructive primary to take him down.

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Bernie Sanders stepping up to the plate and drawing in a good share of the vote, however in 2024, I don’t think he ‘d trouble, or achieve success. Sanders has currently stated that he will not run against Biden. (They’re good friends!) More like frenemies. Ugh, we require more political relationship stories. (Geoffrey Skelley, senior elections analyst): That’s an asset, Alex, about Democrats likely not wanting to participate in an unpleasant main.

If Trump looms big, that might encourage greater Democratic unity. Regardless, though, it’s extremely difficult to take on an incumbent president in a main no incumbent has ever lost renomination in the modern governmental main period. There have been some main polls evaluating Biden versus a multicandidate field that have him leading only in the 30s in regards to support.

Yeah, and the incumbent presidents who have dealt with major renomination fights (e. g., previous President Jimmy Carter) lost their subsequent basic election. No Democrat will want to be blamed for tanking Biden’s possibilities versus Trump. Another complication: I understand polls show that Democrats mostly do not desire Biden to run once again, however party elites aren’t acting that method.

Carolyn Maloney said she didn’t believe Biden would run once again in 2024.!! To me, that’s the indication of a celebration unified behind their leader.