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If adequate of them changed in red states in a close race, it could deny Mr Trump triumph in the electoral college. It is simple to forget that Mr Trump loses elections.

The reason Mr Trump campaigns so hard versus the credibility of the tally box is that he knows the ballot box can beat him.

At the Conservative Political Action Conference in Texas on Saturday, previous President Donald Trump dropped another tease that he will soon reveal he is running for president in 2024. “We will make America happy once again. We will make America safe again. And we will make America terrific again,” he told the CPAC audience.

and we might need to do it again.” Don’t doubt that he will. The FBI raid on Trump’s Mar-a-Lago home in Palm Beach, Florida, on Monday appears like it would put the brakes on the former president’s political aspirations. If anything, significant actions versus him by the Justice Department, in this case tied to classified details Trump supposedly took with him from the White House, according to an NBC source familiar with what happened, is only likely to grease those aspirations even more.

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Any fear he has of losing has surely been displaced by a more serious one: doing time. Trump should pine for the Justice Department’s shield from prosecution that the governmental seal pays for.

He would nearly certainly be out on bail, still running for the presidency and declaring that the verdict would be reversed on appeal.

We disregard them at our peril doing so implies losing valuable time both advising Americans of the “clear and present threat” to our Constitution that he poses and preparing for how best to beat him. First amongst those arguing Trump will not run again was Michael Cohen. Trump’s previous lawyer who understands the guy as well as anybody said in November: “His fragile ego can not stand to be considered a two-time loser.” Cohen’s observation seemed practical then.

In recent weeks, we have actually seen an avalanche of proof from the Home committee examining the events of Jan. 6 about Trump’s prospective criminality leading up to and on that eventful day.

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And in February, the National Archives requested that the Justice Department look at whether Trump’s handling of White House records broke federal law. Hence, any worry he has of losing has certainly been displaced by a more severe one: doing time. Trump must pine for the Justice Department’s shield from prosecution that the governmental seal affords.

And when the presidency is won, are your individuals going to impose the guidelines versus you? As for Cohen’s assertion that Trump would surrender his credibility if he lost a 2nd time, where’s the proof that his fans would disbelieve his unavoidable claim that he actually won?

Provided all these aspects, whatever legal jeopardy he may remain in, expect a Trump announcement right after the midterms saying he plans to be the first president to have ever had an election stolen and lived to win four years later on.

, politics reporter): I don’t believe so, Sarah, specifically if Trump is the nominee. If Trump announces that he’s running for a 2nd term, I believe: 1) Biden will run again, and 2) there won’t be a damaging primary to take him down.

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Bernie Sanders stepping up to the plate and bring in a decent share of the vote, however in 2024, I do not believe he ‘d bother, or succeed. Sanders has currently said that he will not run versus Biden. (They’re pals!) More like frenemies. Ugh, we need more political friendship stories. (Geoffrey Skelley, senior elections analyst): That’s a great point, Alex, about Democrats likely not wishing to take part in a messy primary.

If Trump looms large, that may motivate greater Democratic unity. Regardless, though, it’s extremely difficult to take on an incumbent president in a primary no incumbent has ever lost renomination in the modern-day presidential primary period. There have been some main surveys testing Biden against a multicandidate field that have him leading just in the 30s in regards to support.

Yeah, and the incumbent presidents who have faced severe renomination fights (e. g., previous President Jimmy Carter) lost their subsequent general election. No Democrat will desire to be blamed for tanking Biden’s chances against Trump. Another problem: I know surveys show that Democrats largely don’t desire Biden to run again, but party elites aren’t acting that method.

Carolyn Maloney stated she didn’t think Biden would run again in 2024. Her primary challengers leapt all over her, and she needed to apologize!.?.!! To me, that’s the sign of a party joined behind their leader. (It’s almost Trump-like!) Yeah, I do not see anybody running if Biden makes great on his stated objective to run once again.