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If enough of them changed in red states in a close race, it might deny Mr Trump victory in the electoral college. Better would be to depend upon the common sense of the American people. It is easy to forget that Mr Trump loses elections. In the 4 years of his presidency he lost his celebration both houses of Congress as well as the White House.

The factor Mr Trump campaigns so hard against the dependability of the tally box is that he knows the ballot box can defeat him.

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We will make America safe again. And we will make America great once again,” he informed the CPAC audience.

and we might need to do it again.” Don’t doubt that he will. The FBI raid on Trump’s Mar-a-Lago house in Palm Beach, Florida, on Monday appears like it would put the brakes on the previous president’s political ambitions. If anything, dramatic actions versus him by the Justice Department, in this case connected to categorized information Trump apparently took with him from the White House, according to an NBC source familiar with what occurred, is just likely to grease those ambitions further.

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Any worry he has of losing has definitely been displaced by a more severe one: doing time. Trump must pine for the Justice Department’s guard from prosecution that the governmental seal pays for.

Even if Trump were convicted prior to the 2024 election, it would not likely be much before. He would nearly certainly be out on bail, still running for the presidency and declaring that the verdict would be reversed on appeal. Since late July, Trump stayed the leading option for the Republican presidential nomination, with about 50% support, according to the Real, Clear, Politics poll average and practically every private poll that shows him with huge double-digit leads over his closest rival.

Amongst those arguing Trump will not run again was Michael Cohen. Cohen’s observation seemed practical then.

In recent weeks, we’ve seen an avalanche of evidence from your home committee examining the events of Jan. 6 about Trump’s potential criminality leading up to and on that eventful day. Even before Monday’s search, we saw news of an accelerating Justice Department examination considering whether Trump attempted to overturn the 2020 election.

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And in February, the National Archives requested that the Justice Department take a look at whether Trump’s handling of White Home records broke federal law. Any worry he has of losing has actually certainly been displaced by a more severe one: doing time. Trump needs to crave the Justice Department’s guard from prosecution that the presidential seal affords.

And as soon as the presidency is won, are your people going to enforce the rules against you? As for Cohen’s assertion that Trump would surrender his credibility if he lost a 2nd time, where’s the proof that his fans would disbelieve his unavoidable claim that he actually won?

Offered all these factors, whatever legal jeopardy he might remain in, expect a Trump statement not long after the midterms stating he plans to be the first president to have ever had an election stolen and lived to win 4 years later on.

Exists a Democrat who can handle Biden? (Alex Samuels, politics press reporter): I don’t think so, Sarah, particularly if Trump is the candidate. If Trump announces that he’s running for a second term, I believe: 1) Biden will run once again, and 2) there will not be a harmful main to take him down.

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Bernie Sanders stepping up to the plate and drawing in a decent share of the vote, but in 2024, I do not believe he ‘d bother, or succeed. Sanders has actually already said that he will not run versus Biden. (They’re good friends!) More like frenemies. Ugh, we require more political friendship stories. (Geoffrey Skelley, senior elections analyst): That’s an asset, Alex, about Democrats likely not wishing to take part in a messy primary.

If Trump looms large, that may motivate higher Democratic unity. Regardless, however, it’s extremely tough to take on an incumbent president in a main no incumbent has actually ever lost renomination in the modern-day presidential main age.

Yeah, and the incumbent presidents who have dealt with major renomination fights (e. g., previous President Jimmy Carter) lost their subsequent basic election. No Democrat will desire to be blamed for tanking Biden’s opportunities versus Trump. Another issue: I understand polls show that Democrats mainly don’t want Biden to run once again, however party elites aren’t acting that way.

Carolyn Maloney said she didn’t think Biden would run again in 2024. Her main challengers leapt all over her, and she had to apologize!.?.!! To me, that’s the indication of a celebration unified behind their leader. (It’s almost Trump-like!) Yeah, I do not see anyone running if Biden makes excellent on his stated intent to run again.