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If sufficient of them changed in red states in a close race, it might reject Mr Trump success in the electoral college. It is simple to forget that Mr Trump loses elections.

The reason Mr Trump projects so hard against the reliability of the ballot box is that he knows the ballot box can beat him.

We will make America safe once again. And we will make America excellent once again,” he informed the CPAC audience.

and we might need to do it once again.” Don’t question that he will. The FBI raid on Trump’s Mar-a-Lago house in Palm Beach, Florida, on Monday seems like it would put the brakes on the former president’s political ambitions. If anything, dramatic actions versus him by the Justice Department, in this case tied to classified information Trump supposedly took with him from the White House, according to an NBC source familiar with what occurred, is just most likely to grease those ambitions even more.

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Any worry he has of losing has undoubtedly been displaced by a more serious one: doing time. Trump should pine for the Justice Department’s shield from prosecution that the governmental seal affords. Trump may believe that an indictment could assist his political profile, promoting his longtime campaign style of being an aggrieved martyr.

He would almost undoubtedly be out on bail, still running for the presidency and claiming that the decision would be reversed on appeal.

Amongst those arguing Trump will not run once again was Michael Cohen. Cohen’s observation seemed sensible then.

In current weeks, we’ve witnessed an avalanche of evidence from the House committee examining the events of Jan. 6 about Trump’s prospective criminality leading up to and on that fateful day.

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And in February, the National Archives requested that the Justice Department take a look at whether Trump’s handling of White Home records broke federal law. For this reason, any worry he has of losing has certainly been displaced by a more severe one: doing time. Trump needs to crave the Justice Department’s guard from prosecution that the presidential seal manages.

And once the presidency is won, are your people going to impose the guidelines against you? As for Cohen’s assertion that Trump would surrender his reliability if he lost a second time, where’s the evidence that his fans would disbelieve his inevitable claim that he in fact won? Certainly, isn’t the danger to his moneymaking device higher if he drops the prospect of going back to the White Home? His political relevance would be beat by that of those who choose up the torch, while his name could be in the headlines primarily for his entanglement with the law.

Provided all these elements, whatever legal jeopardy he may remain in, expect a Trump announcement soon after the midterms saying he means to be the first president to have ever had an election taken and lived to win four years later on.

, politics press reporter): I don’t think so, Sarah, particularly if Trump is the nominee. If Trump announces that he’s running for a 2nd term, I believe: 1) Biden will run once again, and 2) there won’t be a destructive main to take him down.

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Bernie Sanders stepping up to the plate and attracting a decent share of the vote, however in 2024, I do not think he ‘d trouble, or be effective. More like frenemies., senior elections expert): That’s a great point, Alex, about Democrats likely not wanting to get involved in an untidy primary.

If Trump looms large, that may motivate higher Democratic unity. Regardless, however, it’s extremely hard to take on an incumbent president in a main no incumbent has actually ever lost renomination in the modern-day presidential primary period. There have actually been some primary surveys testing Biden versus a multicandidate field that have him leading but only in the 30s in terms of support.

Yeah, and the incumbent presidents who have dealt with severe renomination battles (e. g., former President Jimmy Carter) lost their subsequent basic election. No Democrat will desire to be blamed for tanking Biden’s possibilities against Trump. Another complication: I know surveys reveal that Democrats largely don’t desire Biden to run once again, however party elites aren’t acting that method.

Carolyn Maloney said she didn’t believe Biden would run again in 2024.!! To me, that’s the sign of a celebration united behind their leader.