About If Trump Runs Will He Win

If adequate of them switched in red states in a close race, it could reject Mr Trump success in the electoral college. It is easy to forget that Mr Trump loses elections.

The reason Mr Trump projects so hard against the trustworthiness of the ballot box is that he knows the tally box can beat him.

At the Conservative Political Action Conference in Texas on Saturday, previous President Donald Trump dropped another tease that he will soon announce he is running for president in 2024. “We will make America happy again. We will make America safe again. And we will make America terrific once again,” he told the CPAC audience.

and we might have to do it again.” Do not doubt that he will. The FBI raid on Trump’s Mar-a-Lago home in Palm Beach, Florida, on Monday looks like it would put the brakes on the previous president’s political ambitions. If anything, dramatic actions versus him by the Justice Department, in this case tied to classified details Trump allegedly took with him from the White Home, according to an NBC source familiar with what occurred, is only most likely to grease those ambitions even more.

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Any fear he has of losing has surely been displaced by a more serious one: doing time. Trump must pine for the Justice Department’s guard from prosecution that the presidential seal affords. Trump may believe that an indictment could help his political profile, promoting his longtime campaign theme of being an aggrieved martyr.

He would almost surely be out on bail, still running for the presidency and declaring that the decision would be reversed on appeal.

Amongst those arguing Trump will not run again was Michael Cohen. Cohen’s observation seemed practical then.

In current weeks, we’ve witnessed an avalanche of proof from your house committee examining the occasions of Jan. 6 about Trump’s possible criminality leading up to and on that fateful day. Even prior to Monday’s search, we saw news of an accelerating Justice Department examination considering whether Trump attempted to overturn the 2020 election.

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And in February, the National Archives requested that the Justice Department look at whether Trump’s handling of White House records broke federal law. Any worry he has of losing has undoubtedly been displaced by a more serious one: doing time. Trump needs to pine for the Justice Department’s shield from prosecution that the governmental seal manages.

And when the presidency is won, are your people going to enforce the rules versus you? As for Cohen’s assertion that Trump would surrender his trustworthiness if he lost a 2nd time, where’s the evidence that his fans would disbelieve his inescapable claim that he actually won?

Offered all these aspects, whatever legal jeopardy he might remain in, anticipate a Trump statement soon after the midterms saying he plans to be the first president to have ever had actually an election stolen and lived to win four years later.

, politics press reporter): I do not believe so, Sarah, particularly if Trump is the candidate. If Trump reveals that he’s running for a second term, I believe: 1) Biden will run again, and 2) there won’t be a destructive primary to take him down.

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Bernie Sanders stepping up to the plate and bring in a good share of the vote, however in 2024, I don’t believe he ‘d bother, or be effective. Sanders has actually already said that he will not run versus Biden. (They’re good friends!) More like frenemies. Ugh, we require more political friendship stories. (Geoffrey Skelley, senior elections analyst): That’s an asset, Alex, about Democrats likely not wishing to get involved in a messy primary.

If Trump looms big, that might motivate greater Democratic unity. Regardless, though, it’s very tough to take on an incumbent president in a main no incumbent has ever lost renomination in the modern-day presidential primary era.

Yeah, and the incumbent presidents who have dealt with severe renomination battles (e. g., previous President Jimmy Carter) lost their subsequent general election. No Democrat will wish to be blamed for tanking Biden’s chances against Trump. Another complication: I understand surveys show that Democrats mainly don’t desire Biden to run again, however celebration elites aren’t acting that way.

Carolyn Maloney said she didn’t think Biden would run once again in 2024. Her primary opponents jumped all over her, and she had to ask forgiveness!.?.!! To me, that’s the indication of a party unified behind their leader. (It’s nearly Trump-like!) Yeah, I don’t see anyone running if Biden makes great on his stated objective to run once again.