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If sufficient of them switched in red states in a close race, it might deny Mr Trump success in the electoral college. It is easy to forget that Mr Trump loses elections.
The reason Mr Trump campaigns so hard against the dependability of the ballot box is that he understands the ballot box can defeat him.
At the Conservative Political Action Conference in Texas on Saturday, former President Donald Trump dropped another tease that he will quickly announce he is running for president in 2024. “We will make America proud once again. We will make America safe again. And we will make America great once again,” he told the CPAC audience.
and we might need to do it again.” Don’t question that he will. The FBI raid on Trump’s Mar-a-Lago home in Palm Beach, Florida, on Monday looks like it would put the brakes on the previous president’s political aspirations. If anything, dramatic actions versus him by the Justice Department, in this case connected to classified details Trump apparently took with him from the White House, according to an NBC source familiar with what happened, is only most likely to grease those aspirations further.
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Any fear he has of losing has undoubtedly been displaced by a more severe one: doing time. Trump should pine for the Justice Department’s shield from prosecution that the governmental seal manages.
He would practically certainly be out on bail, still running for the presidency and declaring that the decision would be reversed on appeal.
Amongst those arguing Trump won’t run again was Michael Cohen. Cohen’s observation appeared sensible then.
In current weeks, we have actually seen an avalanche of evidence from the House committee examining the events of Jan. 6 about Trump’s possible criminality leading up to and on that eventful day. Even before Monday’s search, we saw news of an accelerating Justice Department examination thinking about whether Trump tried to overturn the 2020 election.
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And in February, the National Archives asked for that the Justice Department take a look at whether Trump’s handling of White House records broke federal law. Any fear he has of losing has certainly been displaced by a more major one: doing time. Trump must crave the Justice Department’s shield from prosecution that the governmental seal pays for.
And once the presidency is won, are your individuals going to implement the rules versus you? When it comes to Cohen’s assertion that Trump would surrender his credibility if he lost a second time, where’s the proof that his fans would disbelieve his inescapable claim that he really won? Indeed, isn’t the risk to his moneymaking device greater if he drops the prospect of returning to the White Home? His political relevance would be beat by that of those who pick up the torch, while his name might be in the headlines mainly for his entanglement with the law.
Given all these factors, whatever legal jeopardy he might remain in, expect a Trump announcement quickly after the midterms saying he means to be the very first president to have ever had actually an election stolen and lived to win 4 years later on.
Exists a Democrat who can handle Biden? (Alex Samuels, politics press reporter): I don’t think so, Sarah, particularly if Trump is the candidate. If Trump announces that he’s running for a second term, I believe: 1) Biden will run again, and 2) there won’t be a harmful primary to take him down.
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Bernie Sanders stepping up to the plate and bring in a good share of the vote, but in 2024, I do not believe he ‘d bother, or be successful. More like frenemies., senior elections analyst): That’s an excellent point, Alex, about Democrats likely not wanting to take part in an untidy main.
If Trump looms large, that might encourage higher Democratic unity. Regardless, though, it’s very difficult to take on an incumbent president in a main no incumbent has ever lost renomination in the contemporary presidential main period.
Yeah, and the incumbent presidents who have faced severe renomination battles (e. g., previous President Jimmy Carter) lost their subsequent basic election. No Democrat will desire to be blamed for tanking Biden’s chances against Trump. Another problem: I know surveys reveal that Democrats mostly don’t want Biden to run once again, however party elites aren’t acting that way.
Carolyn Maloney said she didn’t believe Biden would run once again in 2024. Her primary opponents jumped all over her, and she had to say sorry!.?.!! To me, that’s the sign of a celebration joined behind their leader. (It’s practically Trump-like!) Yeah, I don’t see anyone running if Biden makes great on his stated intention to run again.